Menu
Forums
New posts
Search forums
What's new
New posts
Latest activity
Log in
Register
What's new
Search
Search
Search titles and first posts only
Search titles only
By:
New posts
Search forums
Menu
Log in
Register
Install the app
Install
Help Support The Rugby Forum :
Forums
Rugby Union
The Rugby Championship 2023
[2017 Rugby Championship] Round 1: Australia v New Zealand (19/08/2017)
JavaScript is disabled. For a better experience, please enable JavaScript in your browser before proceeding.
You are using an out of date browser. It may not display this or other websites correctly.
You should upgrade or use an
alternative browser
.
Reply to thread
Message
<blockquote data-quote="Brigantine" data-source="post: 869686" data-attributes="member: 73940"><p>WR Rankings give the Wallabies a 14% chance.</p><p></p><p>NZ can take up to 0.43 RP off Aus <span style="font-size: 10px">(to 95.21 - still 1.36 RP short of the pre-Chicago 96.57)</span>, but another loss would cost the ABs the status they've held post-RWC-2015 as automatic favourites <span style="font-size: 10px">(though they'd still only be underdogs when facing England away)</span></p><p>Aus can win 0.71 from a draw <span style="font-size: 10px">(securing their #4 ranking out of SA's reach for another week)</span>, 1.71 from a win <span style="font-size: 10px">(placing them in 3rd, ahead of Ireland)</span> and 2.57 from a 15+ win <span style="font-size: 10px">(to 87.20, where they'd be favourites in a home game vs England)</span></p><p></p><p>The other thing on the line here is NZ's unbeaten record vs Australian teams this year - Match 27</p><p></p><p></p><p>NZ to be ahead by 15 at 55', and by 31 at FT.</p><p>I wish I could predict that the AB's would get there without giving away too many penalties and no cards... But I'm pessimistic about that.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Brigantine, post: 869686, member: 73940"] WR Rankings give the Wallabies a 14% chance. NZ can take up to 0.43 RP off Aus [SIZE=2](to 95.21 - still 1.36 RP short of the pre-Chicago 96.57)[/SIZE], but another loss would cost the ABs the status they've held post-RWC-2015 as automatic favourites [SIZE=2](though they'd still only be underdogs when facing England away)[/SIZE] Aus can win 0.71 from a draw [SIZE=2](securing their #4 ranking out of SA's reach for another week)[/SIZE], 1.71 from a win [SIZE=2](placing them in 3rd, ahead of Ireland)[/SIZE] and 2.57 from a 15+ win [SIZE=2](to 87.20, where they'd be favourites in a home game vs England)[/SIZE] The other thing on the line here is NZ's unbeaten record vs Australian teams this year - Match 27 NZ to be ahead by 15 at 55', and by 31 at FT. I wish I could predict that the AB's would get there without giving away too many penalties and no cards... But I'm pessimistic about that. [/QUOTE]
Verification
Post reply
Forums
Rugby Union
The Rugby Championship 2023
[2017 Rugby Championship] Round 1: Australia v New Zealand (19/08/2017)
Top