Menu
Forums
New posts
Search forums
What's new
New posts
Latest activity
Log in
Register
What's new
Search
Search
Search titles and first posts only
Search titles only
By:
New posts
Search forums
Menu
Log in
Register
Install the app
Install
Help Support The Rugby Forum :
Forums
Rugby Union
General Rugby Union
A statistical confirmation of kicking rugby's advantages
JavaScript is disabled. For a better experience, please enable JavaScript in your browser before proceeding.
You are using an out of date browser. It may not display this or other websites correctly.
You should upgrade or use an
alternative browser
.
Reply to thread
Message
<blockquote data-quote="smartcooky" data-source="post: 707486" data-attributes="member: 20605"><p>I don't think its easy to make that call from so few games but just as a bit of fun, I did a similar analysis for last year's Rugby Championship.</p><p></p><p><img src="https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/98915197/TRF/RC2014kickstats.png" alt="" class="fr-fic fr-dii fr-draggable " style="" /></p><p><span style="font-family: 'arial'"><span style="font-size: 9px">NOTE: Out of the 12 matches, one was a draw, and</span></span></p><p><span style="font-family: 'arial'"><span style="font-size: 9px">there was one match (won by South Africa) where both</span></span></p><p> <span style="font-family: 'arial'"><span style="font-size: 9px">teams kicked the same number of times.</span></span></p><p></p><p>The winning team kicked 23 times</p><p>The losing team kicked 22 times</p><p></p><p>This is hardly definitive, but it gets a bit more interesting when you look at the actual matches. Out of 10 matches that had a result and where one team kicked more than the other...</p><p></p><p>The winning team kicked more in six matches</p><p>The losing team kicked more in four matches</p><p></p><p>In two of those matches where the highest kicking team won the kick stats, the differences wre marginal (31-30 and 32-29), so this result could easily have gone the other way but for just a few kicks over the two matches.</p><p></p><p>IMO, the <em>"number of kicks"</em> stat is meaningless without a lot more information about the nature of the kicks, such as</p><p></p><p>Kicks in play recovered/lost by the kicking team</p><p>Metres gained from clearing kicks, and whether they went to opponents hand/ground/touch</p><p>Bombs that resulted in penalties/tries/scrums or turnover of possesion.</p><p></p><p>Also, I think there are far more influential stats that impact on the result of a match...</p><p></p><p>Running metres gained</p><p>% possession and where that possession was</p><p>% territory</p><p>goalkicking accuracy</p><p>clean breaks and line breaks</p><p>offloads</p><p>missed tackles and other errors</p><p></p><p>....are a few examples</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="smartcooky, post: 707486, member: 20605"] I don't think its easy to make that call from so few games but just as a bit of fun, I did a similar analysis for last year's Rugby Championship. [IMG]https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/98915197/TRF/RC2014kickstats.png[/IMG] [FONT=arial][SIZE=1]NOTE: Out of the 12 matches, one was a draw, and there was one match (won by South Africa) where both teams kicked the same number of times.[/SIZE][/FONT] The winning team kicked 23 times The losing team kicked 22 times This is hardly definitive, but it gets a bit more interesting when you look at the actual matches. Out of 10 matches that had a result and where one team kicked more than the other... The winning team kicked more in six matches The losing team kicked more in four matches In two of those matches where the highest kicking team won the kick stats, the differences wre marginal (31-30 and 32-29), so this result could easily have gone the other way but for just a few kicks over the two matches. IMO, the [I]"number of kicks"[/I] stat is meaningless without a lot more information about the nature of the kicks, such as Kicks in play recovered/lost by the kicking team Metres gained from clearing kicks, and whether they went to opponents hand/ground/touch Bombs that resulted in penalties/tries/scrums or turnover of possesion. Also, I think there are far more influential stats that impact on the result of a match... Running metres gained % possession and where that possession was % territory goalkicking accuracy clean breaks and line breaks offloads missed tackles and other errors ....are a few examples [/QUOTE]
Verification
Post reply
Forums
Rugby Union
General Rugby Union
A statistical confirmation of kicking rugby's advantages
Top