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<blockquote data-quote="Larksea" data-source="post: 591632" data-attributes="member: 43875"><p>bit of a reality check with oracle getting a win.</p><p></p><p>TNZ still has the advantage.</p><p></p><p>I think we are in a situation where:</p><p></p><p>if TNZ win the start, it's basically game over. Oracle have not shown that they can make up distance on TNZ</p><p>Oracle will be super aggressive from the windward side every start to either push TNZ out or draw a penalty - they simply have to win the start well to have a chance to win the race.</p><p>TNZ have two come from behind wins, so the start is not as important for them. That said they cant give too much away, that 4th start was really bad and they ended up further behind than when they had to serve a slowdown penalty.</p><p>If TNZ give too much away at the start and have an average or below performance Oracle can stay ahead.</p><p></p><p>hard to know how much to read into the Oracle win, TNZ mad mistakes they would not normally make and Oracle seemed to get lucky with shifts.</p><p></p><p>Overall</p><p>Oracle seem to have a slight advantage in speed down wind.</p><p>TNZ have a more significant advantage upwind</p><p>TNZ are much better in dog fights, the boat is more agile and accelerates faster so when they get into tactical duals TNZ owns Oracle.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Larksea, post: 591632, member: 43875"] bit of a reality check with oracle getting a win. TNZ still has the advantage. I think we are in a situation where: if TNZ win the start, it's basically game over. Oracle have not shown that they can make up distance on TNZ Oracle will be super aggressive from the windward side every start to either push TNZ out or draw a penalty - they simply have to win the start well to have a chance to win the race. TNZ have two come from behind wins, so the start is not as important for them. That said they cant give too much away, that 4th start was really bad and they ended up further behind than when they had to serve a slowdown penalty. If TNZ give too much away at the start and have an average or below performance Oracle can stay ahead. hard to know how much to read into the Oracle win, TNZ mad mistakes they would not normally make and Oracle seemed to get lucky with shifts. Overall Oracle seem to have a slight advantage in speed down wind. TNZ have a more significant advantage upwind TNZ are much better in dog fights, the boat is more agile and accelerates faster so when they get into tactical duals TNZ owns Oracle. [/QUOTE]
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