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Rugby World Cup 2023
"Experts" RWC Predictions
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<blockquote data-quote="Brigantine" data-source="post: 1140842" data-attributes="member: 73940"><p><span style="font-size: 18px"><strong>Naive projections based on World Rugby Rankings at start of tournament:</strong></span></p><p></p><p><s>(* Assuming Australia doesn't upset France tomorrow. Headline: "Eddie Jones pushes England to record low 9th")</s></p><p>Notably, the 5 top ranked teams are all competing for the same 2 QF's, while the other 2 QF's will be populated (& won) by teams ranked 6+</p><p></p><p>I'll also add that the New Zealand government (with all the 'experts' at their disposal) decided to hold the election just hours <em>before</em> the QF's. What does that say about their confidence? (in contrast to 1999 and 2011 - the last times the years lined up - when it was 1 month after the final)</p><p></p><p></p><p>QF 1: <strong>Fiji</strong> vs England</p><p>-------------------------------------SF 1: Fiji vs <strong>Ireland</strong></p><p>QF 2: <strong>Ireland</strong> vs New Zealand</p><p>------------------------------------------------------------------------Final: Ireland vs <strong>France</strong></p><p>------------------------------------------------------------------------Bronze: Fiji vs <strong>Argentina</strong></p><p>QF 3: <strong>Argentina</strong> vs Australia</p><p>-------------------------------------SF 2: Argentina vs <strong>France</strong></p><p>QF 4: <strong>France</strong> vs South Africa</p><p></p><p>Rankings etc:</p><p>-----------Contenders for KO's------------</p><p>1) 92.22* France (89.22 +3 for home advantage. <s>Final rank not confirmed</s>)</p><p>2) 91.82 Ireland</p><p>3) 91.08 South Africa</p><p>4) 89.06 New Zealand</p><p>5) 84.01 Scotland</p><p>6) 80.86 Argentina</p><p>7) 80.28 Fiji</p><p>8) 79.95 England</p><p>9) 79.87 Australia (<s>Final rank not confirmed, but can only go up</s>)</p><p></p><p>-----------Contenders for 3rd in Pool------------</p><p>10) 78.26 Wales</p><p>11) 76.23 Georgia</p><p>12) 76.19 Samoa</p><p>13) 75.63 Italy</p><p>-----------Something Missing?------------</p><p>14) 73.29 Japan</p><p>15) 70.29 Tonga</p><p>16) 68.61 Portugal</p><p>17) 66.63 Uruguay</p><p>-----------You may have forgotten about------------</p><p>19) 64.56 Romania</p><p>21) 61.61 Namibia</p><p>22) 60.49 Chile</p><p></p><p>Pool A:</p><p>1st - France</p><p>2nd - New Zealand</p><p>3rd - Italy (4th Uruguay, 5th Namibia)</p><p></p><p>Pool B:</p><p>1st - Ireland</p><p>2nd - South Africa</p><p>3rd - Scotland (4th Tonga, 5th Romania)</p><p></p><p>Pool C:</p><p>1st - Fiji</p><p>2nd - Australia</p><p>3rd - Wales (4th Georgia, 5th Portugal)</p><p></p><p>Pool D:</p><p>1st - Argentina</p><p>2nd - England</p><p>3rd - Samoa (4th Japan, 5th Chile)</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Brigantine, post: 1140842, member: 73940"] [SIZE=5][B]Naive projections based on World Rugby Rankings at start of tournament:[/B][/SIZE] [S](* Assuming Australia doesn't upset France tomorrow. Headline: "Eddie Jones pushes England to record low 9th")[/S] Notably, the 5 top ranked teams are all competing for the same 2 QF's, while the other 2 QF's will be populated (& won) by teams ranked 6+ I'll also add that the New Zealand government (with all the 'experts' at their disposal) decided to hold the election just hours [I]before[/I] the QF's. What does that say about their confidence? (in contrast to 1999 and 2011 - the last times the years lined up - when it was 1 month after the final) QF 1: [B]Fiji[/B] vs England -------------------------------------SF 1: Fiji vs [B]Ireland[/B] QF 2: [B]Ireland[/B] vs New Zealand ------------------------------------------------------------------------Final: Ireland vs [B]France[/B] ------------------------------------------------------------------------Bronze: Fiji vs [B]Argentina[/B] QF 3: [B]Argentina[/B] vs Australia -------------------------------------SF 2: Argentina vs [B]France[/B] QF 4: [B]France[/B] vs South Africa Rankings etc: -----------Contenders for KO's------------ 1) 92.22* France (89.22 +3 for home advantage. [S]Final rank not confirmed[/S]) 2) 91.82 Ireland 3) 91.08 South Africa 4) 89.06 New Zealand 5) 84.01 Scotland 6) 80.86 Argentina 7) 80.28 Fiji 8) 79.95 England 9) 79.87 Australia ([S]Final rank not confirmed, but can only go up[/S]) -----------Contenders for 3rd in Pool------------ 10) 78.26 Wales 11) 76.23 Georgia 12) 76.19 Samoa 13) 75.63 Italy -----------Something Missing?------------ 14) 73.29 Japan 15) 70.29 Tonga 16) 68.61 Portugal 17) 66.63 Uruguay -----------You may have forgotten about------------ 19) 64.56 Romania 21) 61.61 Namibia 22) 60.49 Chile Pool A: 1st - France 2nd - New Zealand 3rd - Italy (4th Uruguay, 5th Namibia) Pool B: 1st - Ireland 2nd - South Africa 3rd - Scotland (4th Tonga, 5th Romania) Pool C: 1st - Fiji 2nd - Australia 3rd - Wales (4th Georgia, 5th Portugal) Pool D: 1st - Argentina 2nd - England 3rd - Samoa (4th Japan, 5th Chile) [/QUOTE]
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