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Rugby Union
Rugby World Cup 2023
Favourites to win? Could this be one of the most open World Cups for a long time?
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<blockquote data-quote="RedruthRFC" data-source="post: 1097702" data-attributes="member: 58362"><p>The difference isn't so much the number of teams with a "credible chance" of winning. The big difference is that barring a miraculous turnaround in form, New Zealand won't be evens or better to win the whole thing as they (IIRC) have been previously. In a book with no overround, NZ being evens means that the rest of the field only have a 50% chance of winning to share between them. A more even distribution of the probability of winning is pretty much how I would define "most open".</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="RedruthRFC, post: 1097702, member: 58362"] The difference isn't so much the number of teams with a "credible chance" of winning. The big difference is that barring a miraculous turnaround in form, New Zealand won't be evens or better to win the whole thing as they (IIRC) have been previously. In a book with no overround, NZ being evens means that the rest of the field only have a 50% chance of winning to share between them. A more even distribution of the probability of winning is pretty much how I would define "most open". [/QUOTE]
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Rugby Union
Rugby World Cup 2023
Favourites to win? Could this be one of the most open World Cups for a long time?
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