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Rugby Union
Rugby World Cup 2023
Favourites to win? Could this be one of the most open World Cups for a long time?
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<blockquote data-quote="RedruthRFC" data-source="post: 1097738" data-attributes="member: 58362"><p>The term is implied probability. I chose evens because it makes the maths easy and implies a 50% chance. It turns out, New Zealand weren't as nailed on as I thought they were last time (presumably coming off the back of a Rugby Championship loss), according to the first article I found (<a href="https://www.gq-magazine.co.uk/lifestyle/article/rugby-world-cup-2019-best-odds-and-tips" target="_blank">https://www.gq-magazine.co.uk/lifestyle/article/rugby-world-cup-2019-best-odds-and-tips</a>), they were 6/4 pre-tournament, which would imply a probability of 40%. The figures may have been wrong, but the point stands that New Zealand being that short of a price doesn't leave much to spread around the remaining contenders and that chances of winning are currently more evenly spread.</p><p></p><p>The lay prices on Smarkets are pretty close to 100%, if I have some free time and am bored enough later, I'll knock a pie chart together of things as they stand currently and maybe compare it to the previous time out.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="RedruthRFC, post: 1097738, member: 58362"] The term is implied probability. I chose evens because it makes the maths easy and implies a 50% chance. It turns out, New Zealand weren't as nailed on as I thought they were last time (presumably coming off the back of a Rugby Championship loss), according to the first article I found ([URL]https://www.gq-magazine.co.uk/lifestyle/article/rugby-world-cup-2019-best-odds-and-tips[/URL]), they were 6/4 pre-tournament, which would imply a probability of 40%. The figures may have been wrong, but the point stands that New Zealand being that short of a price doesn't leave much to spread around the remaining contenders and that chances of winning are currently more evenly spread. The lay prices on Smarkets are pretty close to 100%, if I have some free time and am bored enough later, I'll knock a pie chart together of things as they stand currently and maybe compare it to the previous time out. [/QUOTE]
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Rugby World Cup 2023
Favourites to win? Could this be one of the most open World Cups for a long time?
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