My two cents. Things that I think should be considered:
- Toulouse is leading the Top 14, 8 points away from the third place and with a match against Bourgoin that their third XV would win, so they will rest players ahead of the HEC semifinal.
- Kelleher will probably not be fit, but Vergallo is ready to play this weekend and, IMO, Bézy has been very good at 9.
- Whoever sadi that Toulouse front five is not good, must be forgetting Servat, Albacete, Milo-Chluski and Johnston.
- However, Toulouse have been very ineffective away.
Both teams are sides that raise their spirits when playing games like this one, and can manage to win even if not playing well. I think that it will be a very close game and I think Toullouse could win it, but I al not surprised that the bookies give Leinster as favourites. Home advantage can prove decisive.