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Moneyball In Rugby
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<blockquote data-quote="ncurd" data-source="post: 883988" data-attributes="member: 72205"><p>It's an interesting idea Moneyball finding value in areas people do not. The infamous one that got the ball rolling in was in baseball and valuing a players ability to get on base over thier ture position like a pitcher.</p><p></p><p>I certainly can cite one example in cricket certainly in the 1st Class and Test arena is an openers ability to face x balls before loosing thier wicket this taking the shine of the ball. It use to be very valued but now people are more interested in how many runs they score or their strike which is far more suited to white ball formats.</p><p></p><p>In rugby for example we over value a kickers kicking % massively as noted in the last 6 nations or the one before that the difference between George Ford and Owen Farrell is only 3pts/game but we state we have to play Farrell because he is statistically a better kicker.</p><p></p><p>As noted above analytics has less real use in Rugby and other team based sports which can not be split down into a series of 1v1 duels. Something someone did very minorly 2 phases ago can provide the spark to a games winning moment. How do you break that down to a raw number? How when that player is taken out do you not factor in the other 14 players?</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="ncurd, post: 883988, member: 72205"] It's an interesting idea Moneyball finding value in areas people do not. The infamous one that got the ball rolling in was in baseball and valuing a players ability to get on base over thier ture position like a pitcher. I certainly can cite one example in cricket certainly in the 1st Class and Test arena is an openers ability to face x balls before loosing thier wicket this taking the shine of the ball. It use to be very valued but now people are more interested in how many runs they score or their strike which is far more suited to white ball formats. In rugby for example we over value a kickers kicking % massively as noted in the last 6 nations or the one before that the difference between George Ford and Owen Farrell is only 3pts/game but we state we have to play Farrell because he is statistically a better kicker. As noted above analytics has less real use in Rugby and other team based sports which can not be split down into a series of 1v1 duels. Something someone did very minorly 2 phases ago can provide the spark to a games winning moment. How do you break that down to a raw number? How when that player is taken out do you not factor in the other 14 players? [/QUOTE]
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