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Rugby Union
International Test Matches
NZ vs Wales - June 2016
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<blockquote data-quote="Ludders93" data-source="post: 798962" data-attributes="member: 74066"><p>I bet on rugby for a living (with mixed results!) and the June Internationals I find are a good opportunity to try and win some money.</p><p>I watch Super Rugby every week, and I'm aware how impressive the Kiwi franchises have been this year. There's some serious talent coming through. And another 4 year of near world wide domination is probably on the cards.</p><p>Having said that I don't think this Wales side will roll over in the first two tests in Auckland and Wellington. Gatland's a shrewd coach, with a point to prove before he takes the Lions to NZ. In addition NZ tend to start their year's internationally a little slow, last year they struggled away in Samoa if I recall, and two years ago didn't put away a 2nd string England team in the first two tests. If there's any time to play the All-Blacks it's then.</p><p></p><p>New Zealand start the first test as 18/19 point favourites. I'd say that's probably a bit too much in my view. Wales have an established team, and a deadly goal-kicker in Biggar. Yes New Zealand could cut loose and rack up a big score, but I'd say a 14/15 point handicap is probably more accurate. Having said that, betting wise I think I'm going to wait until the third test to place a big bet. </p><p></p><p>I'm Willing to wager several thousand pounds that NZ beat Wales by 20+ points in the third test in Dunedin. Bookmakers and northern hemisphere commentators haven't latched on to how much more difficult playing there is than other grounds in NZ. With it being the 3rd and final test for Wales, after a long tiring season, and NZ will start to get some continuity with their final test before the rugby championship, Wales will get a hiding. I suspect I'll get something like 6/5 on NZ to win by 20+ points, and I think that's a great price. It's worth watching the first two test of course, seeing how the teams line up, any injuries etc. But my read is the first two tests will be relatively close with the All Blacks winning by about 15 points, but the final test could be a crushing victory. </p><p></p><p>Any thoughts on anything I've said or the series in general are appreciated. It's a quality forum with quality information and opinions. J</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Ludders93, post: 798962, member: 74066"] I bet on rugby for a living (with mixed results!) and the June Internationals I find are a good opportunity to try and win some money. I watch Super Rugby every week, and I'm aware how impressive the Kiwi franchises have been this year. There's some serious talent coming through. And another 4 year of near world wide domination is probably on the cards. Having said that I don't think this Wales side will roll over in the first two tests in Auckland and Wellington. Gatland's a shrewd coach, with a point to prove before he takes the Lions to NZ. In addition NZ tend to start their year's internationally a little slow, last year they struggled away in Samoa if I recall, and two years ago didn't put away a 2nd string England team in the first two tests. If there's any time to play the All-Blacks it's then. New Zealand start the first test as 18/19 point favourites. I'd say that's probably a bit too much in my view. Wales have an established team, and a deadly goal-kicker in Biggar. Yes New Zealand could cut loose and rack up a big score, but I'd say a 14/15 point handicap is probably more accurate. Having said that, betting wise I think I'm going to wait until the third test to place a big bet. I'm Willing to wager several thousand pounds that NZ beat Wales by 20+ points in the third test in Dunedin. Bookmakers and northern hemisphere commentators haven't latched on to how much more difficult playing there is than other grounds in NZ. With it being the 3rd and final test for Wales, after a long tiring season, and NZ will start to get some continuity with their final test before the rugby championship, Wales will get a hiding. I suspect I'll get something like 6/5 on NZ to win by 20+ points, and I think that's a great price. It's worth watching the first two test of course, seeing how the teams line up, any injuries etc. But my read is the first two tests will be relatively close with the All Blacks winning by about 15 points, but the final test could be a crushing victory. Any thoughts on anything I've said or the series in general are appreciated. It's a quality forum with quality information and opinions. J [/QUOTE]
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NZ vs Wales - June 2016
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