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Rugby Union
International Test Matches
NZ vs Wales - June 2016
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<blockquote data-quote="Ludders93" data-source="post: 799027" data-attributes="member: 74066"><p>Hi Mate, Cheers for the reply.</p><p></p><p>My favourite markets are winning margin (1-12) or 13+ but I also like to bet on Total points or Total tries like yourself. </p><p></p><p>When the weather's awful, sometimes one or two bookmakers who haven't realised still offer 20/1 on No tries in the match. For example 2 weeks back I got 16/1 on there being no tries in Saracens vs Racing Metro. I was in the ground in Lyon, and it was tipping it down. Two of the most pragmatic sides as it is, it was always going to be a kicking match. So I ended up making £900 on that. </p><p></p><p>I've had some bad losses too, I bet on NZ to beat Wales by 1-12 points in November 2014. The bet looked good as the game was close, but NZ scored 3 tries late on to win easily. I was gutted, that was my biggest ever stake on rugby and I got 2/1 odds. I lost £5,000 and would've won £15,000. </p><p></p><p>You make a good point about Wales being slow starters, I noticed it even this six nations in the first half in Dublin. And you're right about the 2012 and 2014 summer tours. I think Wales could win a test match, perhaps the second game in Wellington. Dan Biggar's goalkicking is immaculate, and I thought Wales showed in patches in the 6 nations that they're the best northern hemisphere side.</p><p></p><p>But Wales like every northern hemisphere side will get one drubbing in New Zealand. It's almost inevitable given the astonishing talent NZ have in their back line. </p><p></p><p>Northern Hemisphere sides playing NZ games fall into two categories. The first is when the game is stop-start, NZ don't 100% click and the Northern Hemisphere side stays close on the scoreboard thanks to penalties. That's what I was hoping would happen in 2014 and it did for 70 minutes but sadly the last 10 ruined my plans!</p><p></p><p>The other game is when New Zealand start fast, they get up 10 points early on. Then the Northern Hemisphere side are forced to chase the game, up the tempo and play with width. They kick penalties to the corner instead of for goal. And NZ thrive off that, and end up winning by 30+ points. This will happen in one test this June, I think it'll be the third test in Dunedin.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Ludders93, post: 799027, member: 74066"] Hi Mate, Cheers for the reply. My favourite markets are winning margin (1-12) or 13+ but I also like to bet on Total points or Total tries like yourself. When the weather's awful, sometimes one or two bookmakers who haven't realised still offer 20/1 on No tries in the match. For example 2 weeks back I got 16/1 on there being no tries in Saracens vs Racing Metro. I was in the ground in Lyon, and it was tipping it down. Two of the most pragmatic sides as it is, it was always going to be a kicking match. So I ended up making £900 on that. I've had some bad losses too, I bet on NZ to beat Wales by 1-12 points in November 2014. The bet looked good as the game was close, but NZ scored 3 tries late on to win easily. I was gutted, that was my biggest ever stake on rugby and I got 2/1 odds. I lost £5,000 and would've won £15,000. You make a good point about Wales being slow starters, I noticed it even this six nations in the first half in Dublin. And you're right about the 2012 and 2014 summer tours. I think Wales could win a test match, perhaps the second game in Wellington. Dan Biggar's goalkicking is immaculate, and I thought Wales showed in patches in the 6 nations that they're the best northern hemisphere side. But Wales like every northern hemisphere side will get one drubbing in New Zealand. It's almost inevitable given the astonishing talent NZ have in their back line. Northern Hemisphere sides playing NZ games fall into two categories. The first is when the game is stop-start, NZ don't 100% click and the Northern Hemisphere side stays close on the scoreboard thanks to penalties. That's what I was hoping would happen in 2014 and it did for 70 minutes but sadly the last 10 ruined my plans! The other game is when New Zealand start fast, they get up 10 points early on. Then the Northern Hemisphere side are forced to chase the game, up the tempo and play with width. They kick penalties to the corner instead of for goal. And NZ thrive off that, and end up winning by 30+ points. This will happen in one test this June, I think it'll be the third test in Dunedin. [/QUOTE]
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