Sorry for the late arrival.
I think moving the final to Old Trafford, for one year, makes a lot of sense. It may not get the same crowd, but Union cannot afford to become a 'Southern' sport in the same way RL is most definitely Northern. No harm in playing in the North every now and again.
As for the world cup, Twickenham will sell out 83000 for four England pool games and 3 knockouts. There is incredible appetite for rugby, and money, in the South-East.
For the groups, I'd suggest basing England at Twickenham; New Zealand at the Millennium, Australia at Old Trafford and South Africa at Wembley for their two biggest group games.
Other than that, Kingsholm, Welford Road, Franklin's Gardens, the Stoop, Sixways and the Rec should all pull in fans for smaller games.
Quarter Finals, have one at Twickers, one in Cardiff, one in Manchester and use St. James' Park for the other.
Semi use Twickenham and Old Trafford, use Wembley for the 3rd place playoff and Twickers for the final.
That leaves about 16 games that should be getting attendances of 60-85,000. There's then 32 other matches which will get hopefully 10,000 each, meaning a realistic average of about 30,000 per match, which I think is pretty good.
I should make it clear that I am not English and haven´t lived there at all. I have been there on two occassions but certainly don´t want to pretned to be able to talk on equal terms with someone from there. Then again I´ve never been to France but follow the Top 14 really closely and the French test team too. France has seen rugby go from secondary to soccer to equal to better in not much time at all. The Top 14 continues to still mainly be in small towns but its changing. Regular season games are moved all the time to larger venues and almost always successfully - Montpellier vs Leinster being therare failure. This doesn´t happen in England. When it does its Harlequins using Twickehman of Saracens using Wembley. Sale Sharks are like Biarritz and Perpignan surely.... Biarritz use San Sebastien and pack it while Barcelona was packed for Perpignan vs Toulon. It happens in both the Top 14 and Heineken Cup and doesn´t stop there as it extends to the Amlin Challenge Cup.
Amlin Challenge Cup Final in 2010 at Marseilles and full - 60,000 for Toulon vs Cardiff Blues.
2011 final at Cardiff but not at Millenium Stadium. 2012 in London but at the Stoop rather than Twickenham.
Top 14 Semi Finals - never home matches vs Aviva Premiership Semi Finals - always home matches.
Since RWC 2007 the venues have been Bordeaux, Marseilles, Lyon, Montpellier, St Etienne, and Marseilles but never featuring the Top 14 side from that city. Nantes in line to host a 2012 Semi Final with Toulouse maybe to host the other but not with Toulouse playing there. All are 34,000 or bigger. All hosted RWC matches in 2007. Franklin Gardens is far smaller but remains much bigger than Bath, Sale and others. Not a venue for an Aviva Premiership Semi Final.
The epic failure in English rugby is the overuse of Twickenham at club and international level.
The RFU should keep the final at Twickenham but have the Semi Finals replicate what France is doing. Between now and Rugby World Cup 2015 all the venues should host Aviva Premiership matches. The venues are to be - London (Wembley, Twickenham and Emirates), Manchester, Liverpool, Coventry, Leicester, Gloucester, Southampton, Cardiff, Leeds and Newcastle. I´d start with Coventry (which has hosted Heineken Cup Semi Finals in the past) and Anfield for the 2012 Semi Finals. For instance - Saracens vs Leicester at Coventry and Harlequins vs Northampton at Liverpool. The top ranked side chooses its Semi Final venue whenever possible.
One November test per year as a minimum must be played away from London. Its essential. Comparing to France again is revealing. Just covering the period since RWC 2003 is highly demonstrative. England has not hosted a single November test (or any at all) away from Twickenham in years. Twickenham is guaranteed to be full or close and this is great for the RFU but.....
2004 vs Argentina,
Marseilles
2005 vs Canada,
Nantes, vs Tonga,
Toulouse
2006 vs New Zealand,
Lyon
2008 vs Argentina,
Marseilles, vs Pacific Islands,
Montbeliard
2009 vs South Africa,
Toulouse, vs New Zealand,
Marseilles
2010 vs Argentina,
Montpellier, vs Fiji,
Nantes
I know that Twickenham is owned by the RFU but the management need to think beyond just making maxium profits all the time. Scotland hosting Canada at Aberdeen is brilliant. Scotland hosting Tonga at Murayfield is not. Despite owning the stadium, these matches should always be moved. The benefits of playing in other parts of the country are so much greater than the negatives. France vs New Zealand in Lyon got Lyon ready for the World Cup even though the All Blacks dominated.
Lyon got over 40,000 for each of its three matches of Australia vs Japan, Argentina vs Georgia and New Zealand vs Portugal.
I´d like to directly address some points you made. I´ve put them in bold.
1. Moving the Final - Why not move the Semi Final. As is stands they are played in small venues like Franklin Gardens and are rarely full houses.
2. Twickenham hosting four Enghlish pool matches would be an utterly poor move. New Zealand could have hosted the All Blacks RWC matches vs Canada and Japan at Eden Park but having Hamilton and Wellington host was far, far better. France vs Georgia and France vs Namibia at Marseilles and Toulouse were special occassions despite the ease in which France won.
3. England is such a small country and this is great for a World Cup. Having venues stage teams rather than teams play their matches in different places is silly for England. For Australia its sensible but having New Zealand play twice at the Millenium Stadium is nonsense. See my sample draw below.
I was at the World Cup in New Zealand and, honestly, getting around is a positive not a negative. Going from seeing Italy vs the USA in Nelson to seeing Italy vs Ireland in Dunedin five days latter was great and the distance was huge - compared to England. Newcastle - Southampton, i.e. the largest for 2015.
4. You list the Stoop, Sixways, the Rec and Franklin Gardens for hosting matches. None are going to.
5. Leicester and Gloucester will host - possibly three matches each. Certainly not four and maybe only two. Good venues but small ones. Neither should host a match above 3 vs 5 in pool rankings.
6. No to a Quarter Final in Cardiff. Bad, bad idea. It should not even host a match as it is outside of England. The RFU have indicated it is only there for Pool matches. I´d suggest three matches such as New Zealand vs Oceania 1, Ireland vs South Africa and Wales vs Americas 2.
7. I´d, myself, like to see the Quarter Finals spread. One in Wembley, two in Manchester and one in Leeds or Newcastle.
8. Semi Finals is where I like seeing the matches together in the same city. I was in Australia for it in 2003 and it did change my mind on the issue. So, I´d go for Twickenham to host both Semi FInals. The Bronze Final can go to Emirates and Twickenham hosting the Final.
9. Only 16 games to get strong crowds. Thats just not enough and I doubt it´ll be this low. England has a huge population and is so close to the five Nations. Georgia, Russia and Romania whould all play again and have significant fan numbers following the team. South Africa, Australia, New Zealand and Canada all have huge numbers of young people living and working in the country - esp in London. Canada vs Georgia at Coventry is a good idea and should get over 30,000.
10. 32 for 10 matches each is a very pessimitic thing to say. I was shocked to be at Argentina vs Scotland with only 26,000 people there but that was not the norm it was the exception. The match was moved from Christchurch, was played on a Sunday evening rather than Friday or Saturday (good for locals) and was very, very wet. I went to USA vs Italy two days latter in a small town (Nelson) and it was close to being full. Maybe 3,000 Italians and 500 Americans. The other 12,000 were locals like the poster Smartcooky.
In other words, don´t underestimate locals getting behind the tournament. A World Cup is a lot bigger than many realize until they are there to see it for themselves. Nelson is far smaller than Leicester or Coventry and I´d expect both to be full for games like the ones Nelson hosted. Also, had Argentina vs Scotland been at a different venue it would have been full. Say Hamilton or Dunedin - both fit more than 26,000. To repeat, Lyon got virtual full houses for Australia vs Japan, Argentina vs Georgia and New Zealand vs Portugal. Locals backed it AND there were many fans from all countries - inc Portugal. Therefore, Leeds, which is slightly smaller in capacity can certainly be full for Ireland vs Georgia let alone Italy vs New Zealand.
Sample Draw for RWC 2015
Pool A - Australia, Fiji, France, Namibia, USA
Pool B - Argentina, Canada, England, Italy, Russia
Pool C - Georgia, Ireland, Scotland, South Africa, Tonga
Pool D - Japan, New Zealand, Samoa, Romania, Wales
Sample Match Schedule for the Opening Week of RWC 2015
Friday September 8, 2023
England vs Argentina, Twickenham, 6:30pm
Friday September 8, 2023
Australia vs Fiji, Manchester, 8:30pm
Saturday September 8, 2023
Ireland vs Georgia, Leeds, 2:30pm
Saturday September 8, 2023
France vs USA, Liverpool, 4:30pm
Saturday September 8, 2023
New Zealand vs Wales, Wembley Stadium, 6:30pm
Sunday September 9, 2023
South Africa vs Scotland, Newcastle, 2:30pm
Sunday September 9 2023
Italy vs Russia, Southampton, 5:00pm
Sunday September 9 2023
Japan vs Samoa, Leicester,7:30pm
Tuesday September 10 2023
England vs Canada, Manchester, 5:30pm
Tuesday September 10 2023
Fiji vs Namibia, Gloucester, 7:30pm
Wednesday September 11 2023
Wales vs Romania, Emirates Stadium, 5:30pm
Wednesday September 11 2023
Ireland vs Tonga, Liverpool, 7:30pm