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Rugby Union
Tier Two & Three Rugby
Rugby Europe Championship 2021
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<blockquote data-quote="Brigantine" data-source="post: 1050463" data-attributes="member: 73940"><p>It's looking like RWC 2023 Qualifying is getting pretty competitive... Portugal, Romania and Russia or Spain all start 2022 in a close race for Europe 2 <span style="font-size: 10px">(direct qualification)</span> and Europe 3 <span style="font-size: 10px">(repechage)</span></p><p></p><p>Final table <u><strong><u>IF</u></strong></u> there are 3 more big <span style="font-size: 10px">(33 point + BP)</span> losses for the Netherlands, and a winner in the other game in hand (Spain) vs Russia <span style="font-size: 10px">(assuming a 7 point margin)</span>...</p><p></p><p></p><p></p><p>Romania have an edge with home advantage in 2022<span style="font-size: 9px"> (vs Georgia, Portugal and Russia)</span>, but not much margin for error. Drop 1 more game <span style="font-size: 10px">(other than Georgia)</span>, and while they'd still have good odds to qualify directly, it will depend on things outside their control.</p><p>Spain also have more home advantage<span style="font-size: 9px"> (2021 Russia, 2022 vs Portugal and Romania)</span>, and if they finish 2021 well, they'll only have to catch up a few more points in 2022. A 3-win 3rd place finish in the 2022 season could easily be enough to make repechage.</p><p></p><p></p><p>very contrived <strong>hypothetical</strong> scenarios after 2022, <strong>for illustration</strong>: <span style="font-size: 10px">(assumes 2022 wins are all by 8 points, no BPs)</span></p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Brigantine, post: 1050463, member: 73940"] It's looking like RWC 2023 Qualifying is getting pretty competitive... Portugal, Romania and Russia or Spain all start 2022 in a close race for Europe 2 [SIZE=2](direct qualification)[/SIZE] and Europe 3 [SIZE=2](repechage)[/SIZE] Final table [U][B][U]IF[/U][/B][/U] there are 3 more big [SIZE=2](33 point + BP)[/SIZE] losses for the Netherlands, and a winner in the other game in hand (Spain) vs Russia [SIZE=2](assuming a 7 point margin)[/SIZE]... Romania have an edge with home advantage in 2022[SIZE=1] (vs Georgia, Portugal and Russia)[/SIZE], but not much margin for error. Drop 1 more game [SIZE=2](other than Georgia)[/SIZE], and while they'd still have good odds to qualify directly, it will depend on things outside their control. Spain also have more home advantage[SIZE=1] (2021 Russia, 2022 vs Portugal and Romania)[/SIZE], and if they finish 2021 well, they'll only have to catch up a few more points in 2022. A 3-win 3rd place finish in the 2022 season could easily be enough to make repechage. very contrived [B]hypothetical[/B] scenarios after 2022, [B]for illustration[/B]: [SIZE=2](assumes 2022 wins are all by 8 points, no BPs)[/SIZE] [/QUOTE]
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