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Rugby World Cup 2019 predictions
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<blockquote data-quote="Brigantine" data-source="post: 956528" data-attributes="member: 73940"><p>Last update before the opening match.</p><p>Ireland go into the RWC holding the Raeburn Shield and ranked #1, but New Zealand still have the best chance of winning. (because they have a more favourable draw at the QF stage)</p><p></p><p>[ATTACH=full]7355[/ATTACH][ATTACH=full]7357[/ATTACH]</p><p></p><p><span style="font-size: 15px"><strong> Chances to earn automatic qualification for RWC 2023 (top 3 in pool):</strong></span></p><ul> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">100% - Pool A - Ireland</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">100% - Pool B - New Zealand</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">100% - Pool C - England</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">100% - Pool B - South Africa</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">>99.9% - Pool D - Wales</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">98.8% - Pool D - Australia</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">98.6% - Pool A - Scotland</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">97.0% - Pool A - Japan</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">95.0% - Pool B - Italy</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">91.5% - Pool C - France</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">75% - Pool D - Fiji<br /> </li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">69% - Pool C - Argentina</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">26% - Pool D - Georgia</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">23% - Pool C - USA<br /> </li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">16% - Pool C - Tonga</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">4.0% - Pool A - Samoa</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">2.5% - Pool B - Canada</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">2.5% - Pool B - Namibia</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">0.5% - Pool D - Uruguay</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">0.1% - Pool A - Russia</li> </ul><p><span style="font-size: 15px"><strong> Chances to progress to Quarterfinals (top 2 in pool):</strong></span></p><ul> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">100% - Pool B - New Zealand</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">99.8% - Pool B - South Africa<br /> </li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">99.5% - Pool C - England<br /> </li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">98.4% - Pool A - Ireland<br /> </li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">97.0% - Pool D - Wales</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">87% - Pool D - Australia</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">69% - Pool C - France<br /> </li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">59% - Pool A - Scotland</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">43% - Pool A - Japan</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">25% - Pool C - Argentina</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">15% - Pool D - Fiji<br /> </li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">4.5% - Pool C - USA<br /> </li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">3.0% - Pool C - Tonga</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">1.8% - Pool D - Georgia<br /> </li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">0.3% - Pool A - Samoa</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">0.3% - Pool B - Italy</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">0% - Pool D - Uruguay</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">0% - Pool A - Russia<br /> </li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">0% - Pool B - Canada</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">0% - Pool B - Namibia</li> </ul><p><span style="font-size: 15px"><strong> Chances to top pool:</strong></span></p><ul> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">91.5% - Pool C - England</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">89% - Pool A - Ireland</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">68% - Pool D - Wales<br /> </li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">60% - Pool B - New Zealand</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">40% - Pool B - South Africa<br /> </li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">30% - Pool D - Australia<br /> </li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">7.5% - Pool A - Scotland<br /> </li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">7.5% - Pool C - France<br /> </li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">4.0% - Pool A - Japan</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">1.6% - Pool D - Fiji</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">1.0% - Pool C - Argentina</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">>0.1% - Pool D - Georgia<br /> </li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">0% - Pool C - USA</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">0% - Pool B - Italy<br /> </li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">0% - Pool C - Tonga</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">0% - Pool A - Samoa</li> </ul><p><span style="font-size: 15px"><strong>Chances to progress to Semifinals:</strong></span></p><ul> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">73% - Pool B - New Zealand _ <span style="font-size: 10px">(88% if 1st in pool, 51% if 2nd)</span><br /> </li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">72% - Pool D - Wales _______ <span style="font-size: 10px"> (86% if 1st in pool, 46% if 2nd)</span><br /> </li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">69% - Pool C - England ______<span style="font-size: 10px"> (71% if 1st in pool, 51% if 2nd)</span></li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">57% - Pool A - Ireland _______<span style="font-size: 10px"> (60% if 1st in pool, 45% if 2nd)</span></li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">56% - Pool B - South Africa __<span style="font-size: 10px"> (81% if 1st in pool, 40% if 2nd)</span><br /> </li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">40% - Pool D - Australia _____<span style="font-size: 10px"> (75% if 1st in pool, 31% if 2nd)</span></li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">14% - Pool C - France _______<span style="font-size: 10px"> (~40% if 1st in pool, 19% if 2nd)</span><br /> </li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">9.0% - Pool A - Scotland _____<span style="font-size: 10px"> (~25% if 1st in pool, 13% if 2nd)</span><br /> </li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">4.0% - Pool A - Japan _______<span style="font-size: 10px"> (~20% if 1st in pool, 9.0% if 2nd)</span></li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">2.5% - Pool C - Argentina ____<span style="font-size: 10px"> (~20% if 1st in pool, 10% if 2nd)</span><br /> </li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">2.2% - Pool D - Fiji __________<span style="font-size: 10px"> (~50% if 1st in pool, 10% if 2nd)</span></li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">0.1% - Pool C - USA _________<span style="font-size: 10px"> (2% if 2nd in pool)</span></li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">0.1% - Pool D - Georgia _____<span style="font-size: 10px"> (10-90% if 1st in pool, ~3% if 2nd)</span><br /> </li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">0% - Pool B - Italy<br /> </li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">0% - Pool C - Tonga</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">0% - Pool A - Samoa</li> </ul><p><span style="font-size: 15px"><strong>Chances to place in top 3:</strong></span></p><ul> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">64% - Pool B - New Zealand _ <span style="font-size: 10px">(1st 27%, 2nd 20%, 3rd 17%)</span><br /> </li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">55% - Pool C - England ______ <span style="font-size: 10px">(1st 18%, 2nd 17%, 3rd 20%)</span></li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">53% - Pool D - Wales ________ <span style="font-size: 10px">(1st 14%, 2nd 17%, 3rd 22%)</span><br /> </li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">51% - Pool A - Ireland _______ <span style="font-size: 10px">(1st 23%, 2nd 16%, 3rd 12%)</span><br /> </li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">44% - Pool B - South Africa __ <span style="font-size: 10px">(1st 14%, 2nd 16%, 3rd 14%)</span><br /> </li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">22% - Pool D - Australia _____ <span style="font-size: 10px">(1st 4.0%, 2nd 8.5%, 3rd 10%)</span><br /> </li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">4.5% - Pool A - Scotland _____ <span style="font-size: 10px">(1st 0.5%, 2nd 2.2%, 3rd 1.8%)</span><br /> </li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">4.5% - Pool C - France _______ <span style="font-size: 10px">(1st 0.4%, 2nd 1.6%, 3rd 2.5%)</span><br /> </li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">1.8% - Pool A - Japan ________ <span style="font-size: 10px">(1st 0.2%, 2nd 0.8%, 3rd 0.8%)</span><br /> </li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">0.6% - Pool D - Fiji ___________ <span style="font-size: 10px">(1st <0.1%, 2nd 0.2%, 3rd 0.3%)</span><br /> </li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">0.5% - Pool C - Argentina ____ <span style="font-size: 10px">(1st ----------, 2nd 0.2%, 3rd 0.3%)</span></li> </ul></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Brigantine, post: 956528, member: 73940"] Last update before the opening match. Ireland go into the RWC holding the Raeburn Shield and ranked #1, but New Zealand still have the best chance of winning. (because they have a more favourable draw at the QF stage) [ATTACH=full]7355[/ATTACH][ATTACH=full]7357[/ATTACH] [SIZE=4][B] Chances to earn automatic qualification for RWC 2023 (top 3 in pool):[/B][/SIZE] [LIST] [*]100% - Pool A - Ireland [*]100% - Pool B - New Zealand [*]100% - Pool C - England [*]100% - Pool B - South Africa [*]>99.9% - Pool D - Wales [*]98.8% - Pool D - Australia [*]98.6% - Pool A - Scotland [*]97.0% - Pool A - Japan [*]95.0% - Pool B - Italy [*]91.5% - Pool C - France [*]75% - Pool D - Fiji [*]69% - Pool C - Argentina [*]26% - Pool D - Georgia [*]23% - Pool C - USA [*]16% - Pool C - Tonga [*]4.0% - Pool A - Samoa [*]2.5% - Pool B - Canada [*]2.5% - Pool B - Namibia [*]0.5% - Pool D - Uruguay [*]0.1% - Pool A - Russia [/LIST] [SIZE=4][B] Chances to progress to Quarterfinals (top 2 in pool):[/B][/SIZE] [LIST] [*]100% - Pool B - New Zealand [*]99.8% - Pool B - South Africa [*]99.5% - Pool C - England [*]98.4% - Pool A - Ireland [*]97.0% - Pool D - Wales [*]87% - Pool D - Australia [*]69% - Pool C - France [*]59% - Pool A - Scotland [*]43% - Pool A - Japan [*]25% - Pool C - Argentina [*]15% - Pool D - Fiji [*]4.5% - Pool C - USA [*]3.0% - Pool C - Tonga [*]1.8% - Pool D - Georgia [*]0.3% - Pool A - Samoa [*]0.3% - Pool B - Italy [*]0% - Pool D - Uruguay [*]0% - Pool A - Russia [*]0% - Pool B - Canada [*]0% - Pool B - Namibia [/LIST] [SIZE=4][B] Chances to top pool:[/B][/SIZE] [LIST] [*]91.5% - Pool C - England [*]89% - Pool A - Ireland [*]68% - Pool D - Wales [*]60% - Pool B - New Zealand [*]40% - Pool B - South Africa [*]30% - Pool D - Australia [*]7.5% - Pool A - Scotland [*]7.5% - Pool C - France [*]4.0% - Pool A - Japan [*]1.6% - Pool D - Fiji [*]1.0% - Pool C - Argentina [*]>0.1% - Pool D - Georgia [*]0% - Pool C - USA [*]0% - Pool B - Italy [*]0% - Pool C - Tonga [*]0% - Pool A - Samoa [/LIST] [SIZE=4][B]Chances to progress to Semifinals:[/B][/SIZE] [LIST] [*]73% - Pool B - New Zealand _ [SIZE=2](88% if 1st in pool, 51% if 2nd)[/SIZE] [*]72% - Pool D - Wales _______ [SIZE=2] (86% if 1st in pool, 46% if 2nd)[/SIZE] [*]69% - Pool C - England ______[SIZE=2] (71% if 1st in pool, 51% if 2nd)[/SIZE] [*]57% - Pool A - Ireland _______[SIZE=2] (60% if 1st in pool, 45% if 2nd)[/SIZE] [*]56% - Pool B - South Africa __[SIZE=2] (81% if 1st in pool, 40% if 2nd)[/SIZE] [*]40% - Pool D - Australia _____[SIZE=2] (75% if 1st in pool, 31% if 2nd)[/SIZE] [*]14% - Pool C - France _______[SIZE=2] (~40% if 1st in pool, 19% if 2nd)[/SIZE] [*]9.0% - Pool A - Scotland _____[SIZE=2] (~25% if 1st in pool, 13% if 2nd)[/SIZE] [*]4.0% - Pool A - Japan _______[SIZE=2] (~20% if 1st in pool, 9.0% if 2nd)[/SIZE] [*]2.5% - Pool C - Argentina ____[SIZE=2] (~20% if 1st in pool, 10% if 2nd)[/SIZE] [*]2.2% - Pool D - Fiji __________[SIZE=2] (~50% if 1st in pool, 10% if 2nd)[/SIZE] [*]0.1% - Pool C - USA _________[SIZE=2] (2% if 2nd in pool)[/SIZE] [*]0.1% - Pool D - Georgia _____[SIZE=2] (10-90% if 1st in pool, ~3% if 2nd)[/SIZE] [*]0% - Pool B - Italy [*]0% - Pool C - Tonga [*]0% - Pool A - Samoa [/LIST] [SIZE=4][B]Chances to place in top 3:[/B][/SIZE] [LIST] [*]64% - Pool B - New Zealand _ [SIZE=2](1st 27%, 2nd 20%, 3rd 17%)[/SIZE] [*]55% - Pool C - England ______ [SIZE=2](1st 18%, 2nd 17%, 3rd 20%)[/SIZE] [*]53% - Pool D - Wales ________ [SIZE=2](1st 14%, 2nd 17%, 3rd 22%)[/SIZE] [*]51% - Pool A - Ireland _______ [SIZE=2](1st 23%, 2nd 16%, 3rd 12%)[/SIZE] [*]44% - Pool B - South Africa __ [SIZE=2](1st 14%, 2nd 16%, 3rd 14%)[/SIZE] [*]22% - Pool D - Australia _____ [SIZE=2](1st 4.0%, 2nd 8.5%, 3rd 10%)[/SIZE] [*]4.5% - Pool A - Scotland _____ [SIZE=2](1st 0.5%, 2nd 2.2%, 3rd 1.8%)[/SIZE] [*]4.5% - Pool C - France _______ [SIZE=2](1st 0.4%, 2nd 1.6%, 3rd 2.5%)[/SIZE] [*]1.8% - Pool A - Japan ________ [SIZE=2](1st 0.2%, 2nd 0.8%, 3rd 0.8%)[/SIZE] [*]0.6% - Pool D - Fiji ___________ [SIZE=2](1st <0.1%, 2nd 0.2%, 3rd 0.3%)[/SIZE] [*]0.5% - Pool C - Argentina ____ [SIZE=2](1st ----------, 2nd 0.2%, 3rd 0.3%)[/SIZE] [/LIST] [/QUOTE]
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