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<blockquote data-quote="Brigantine" data-source="post: 965583" data-attributes="member: 73940"><p>[<a href="https://www.therugbyforum.com/threads/rugby-world-cup-2019-predictions.39070/page-29#post-963784" target="_blank">link to previous update</a>]</p><p></p><p>Not a whole lot changing over the weekend.</p><p>The already small chances for Italy, Argentina and Tonga in the knock outs have disappeared. Only 9 teams remain with any chance of a QF</p><p>France are down to 0.2% chance to lift the cup, (down from 0.5%) thanks to another unconvincing win, this time over Tonga. Wales is the biggest beneficiary.</p><p></p><p>[ATTACH=full]7608[/ATTACH] [ATTACH=full]7609[/ATTACH]</p><p> </p><p>Georgia have a 1.8% shot at beating Australia to<em> probably</em> snatch 3rd in Pool off Fiji and retain automatic qualification.</p><p>Fiji is at 2.5% to beat Wales. An upset here would <em>probably</em> put Australia 1st in Pool and Wales 2nd.</p><p>France are at 6.0% to beat England and top the pool.</p><p>USA have 22% vs Argentina and 46% vs Tonga. They <em>basically</em> need both to reach 3rd in Pool. (12%)</p><p></p><p>3 of the remaining games are very competitive - no team has more than 52% in Japan vs Scotland, Namibia vs Canada, or USA vs Tonga.</p><p></p><p>The other remaining pool games are all 99.8%+ for 5-0 TP results.</p><p></p><p>[ATTACH=full]7612[/ATTACH]</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Brigantine, post: 965583, member: 73940"] [[URL='https://www.therugbyforum.com/threads/rugby-world-cup-2019-predictions.39070/page-29#post-963784']link to previous update[/URL]] Not a whole lot changing over the weekend. The already small chances for Italy, Argentina and Tonga in the knock outs have disappeared. Only 9 teams remain with any chance of a QF France are down to 0.2% chance to lift the cup, (down from 0.5%) thanks to another unconvincing win, this time over Tonga. Wales is the biggest beneficiary. [ATTACH=full]7608[/ATTACH] [ATTACH=full]7609[/ATTACH] Georgia have a 1.8% shot at beating Australia to[I] probably[/I] snatch 3rd in Pool off Fiji and retain automatic qualification. Fiji is at 2.5% to beat Wales. An upset here would [I]probably[/I] put Australia 1st in Pool and Wales 2nd. France are at 6.0% to beat England and top the pool. USA have 22% vs Argentina and 46% vs Tonga. They [I]basically[/I] need both to reach 3rd in Pool. (12%) 3 of the remaining games are very competitive - no team has more than 52% in Japan vs Scotland, Namibia vs Canada, or USA vs Tonga. The other remaining pool games are all 99.8%+ for 5-0 TP results. [ATTACH=full]7612[/ATTACH] [/QUOTE]
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