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Rugby World Cup 2019 predictions
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<blockquote data-quote="Brigantine" data-source="post: 971788" data-attributes="member: 73940"><p>Japan is out, normal programming resumes. From here on in the model can basically be quoted as "don't know"</p><p></p><p></p><p>Wales should bounce back next week and give a better performance. 3rd time lucky in the Semifinals!</p><p></p><p>The England vs New Zealand SF has been labelled the effective final ever since the draw came out, and it should live up to that in terms of quality and excitement. England have regained their #2 spot in the world rankings just in time.</p><p>The real final won't be rubber stamp though.</p><p></p><p>[EDIT: These charts were incorrect. See the correct versions <a href="https://www.therugbyforum.com/threads/rugby-world-cup-2019-predictions.39070/page-30#post-971870" target="_blank">here</a>]</p><p></p><p>[ATTACH]7730[/ATTACH] [ATTACH]7731[/ATTACH] </p><p></p><p>[ATTACH]7732[/ATTACH] </p><p></p><p><a href="https://interactives.stuff.co.nz/2019/rugby-world-cup/power-rankings/" target="_blank">Stuff</a> has:</p><p>SF1: NZ 62% England 38%</p><p>SF2: Wales 57% South Africa 43%</p><p></p><p>To win: NZ 46%, England 26%, Wales 19%, South Africa 9%</p><p></p><p>So the same but they have a little bit more confidence in the favourites.</p><p>[technically my model has Wales and South Africa as a statistical tie. Good candidate for an a.e.t. result!]</p><p></p><p>RWC 2019 places:</p><ol> <li data-xf-list-type="ol">TBD</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ol">TBD</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ol">TBD</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ol">TBD<br /> </li> <li data-xf-list-type="ol">Japan, <span style="font-size: 10px">19 TP, +53 [1st in Pool]</span><br /> </li> <li data-xf-list-type="ol">Ireland, <span style="font-size: 10px">16 TP, +94 [2nd in Pool]</span><br /> </li> <li data-xf-list-type="ol">Australia, <span style="font-size: 10px">16 TP, +68</span></li> <li data-xf-list-type="ol">France, <span style="font-size: 10px">15 TP, +28</span></li> <li data-xf-list-type="ol">Italy, <span style="font-size: 10px">12 TP, +20 [3rd in Pool]</span><br /> </li> <li data-xf-list-type="ol">Scotland, <span style="font-size: 10px">11 TP, +64</span></li> <li data-xf-list-type="ol">Argentina, <span style="font-size: 10px">11 TP, +15</span></li> <li data-xf-list-type="ol">Fiji, <span style="font-size: 10px">7 TP, +2</span></li> <li data-xf-list-type="ol">Tonga, <span style="font-size: 10px">6 TP, -38 [4th in Pool]</span><br /> </li> <li data-xf-list-type="ol">Georgia, <span style="font-size: 10px">5 TP, -57</span></li> <li data-xf-list-type="ol">Samoa, <span style="font-size: 10px">5 TP, -70</span></li> <li data-xf-list-type="ol">Namibia, <span style="font-size: 10px">2 TP, -141 [4th in Pool]</span><br /> </li> <li data-xf-list-type="ol">Uruguay, <span style="font-size: 10px">4 TP, -80 [Last in Pool]</span><br /> </li> <li data-xf-list-type="ol">Canada, <span style="font-size: 10px">2 TP, -163</span></li> <li data-xf-list-type="ol">USA, <span style="font-size: 10px">0 TP, -104</span></li> <li data-xf-list-type="ol">Russia, <span style="font-size: 10px">0 TP, -141</span></li> </ol></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Brigantine, post: 971788, member: 73940"] Japan is out, normal programming resumes. From here on in the model can basically be quoted as "don't know" Wales should bounce back next week and give a better performance. 3rd time lucky in the Semifinals! The England vs New Zealand SF has been labelled the effective final ever since the draw came out, and it should live up to that in terms of quality and excitement. England have regained their #2 spot in the world rankings just in time. The real final won't be rubber stamp though. [EDIT: These charts were incorrect. See the correct versions [URL='https://www.therugbyforum.com/threads/rugby-world-cup-2019-predictions.39070/page-30#post-971870']here[/URL]] [ATTACH]7730[/ATTACH] [ATTACH]7731[/ATTACH] [ATTACH]7732[/ATTACH] [URL='https://interactives.stuff.co.nz/2019/rugby-world-cup/power-rankings/']Stuff[/URL] has: SF1: NZ 62% England 38% SF2: Wales 57% South Africa 43% To win: NZ 46%, England 26%, Wales 19%, South Africa 9% So the same but they have a little bit more confidence in the favourites. [technically my model has Wales and South Africa as a statistical tie. Good candidate for an a.e.t. result!] RWC 2019 places: [LIST=1] [*]TBD [*]TBD [*]TBD [*]TBD [*]Japan, [SIZE=2]19 TP, +53 [1st in Pool][/SIZE] [*]Ireland, [SIZE=2]16 TP, +94 [2nd in Pool][/SIZE] [*]Australia, [SIZE=2]16 TP, +68[/SIZE] [*]France, [SIZE=2]15 TP, +28[/SIZE] [*]Italy, [SIZE=2]12 TP, +20 [3rd in Pool][/SIZE] [*]Scotland, [SIZE=2]11 TP, +64[/SIZE] [*]Argentina, [SIZE=2]11 TP, +15[/SIZE] [*]Fiji, [SIZE=2]7 TP, +2[/SIZE] [*]Tonga, [SIZE=2]6 TP, -38 [4th in Pool][/SIZE] [*]Georgia, [SIZE=2]5 TP, -57[/SIZE] [*]Samoa, [SIZE=2]5 TP, -70[/SIZE] [*]Namibia, [SIZE=2]2 TP, -141 [4th in Pool][/SIZE] [*]Uruguay, [SIZE=2]4 TP, -80 [Last in Pool][/SIZE] [*]Canada, [SIZE=2]2 TP, -163[/SIZE] [*]USA, [SIZE=2]0 TP, -104[/SIZE] [*]Russia, [SIZE=2]0 TP, -141[/SIZE] [/LIST] [/QUOTE]
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