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Super Rugby play-offs: Stormers - Sharks in Cape Town (28/07/2012)
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<blockquote data-quote="Erich" data-source="post: 518376" data-attributes="member: 61829"><p><strong>not the same</strong></p><p></p><p></p><p> </p><p>The bold part is key: "I think the Sormers will win" means, quite simply, that <strong>I</strong> think the Stormers will win</p><p></p><p>"The Stormers are favourites" means that <strong>t<strong>he bettors</strong>,</strong> as a whole, on average if you will, think the Stormers will win.</p><p></p><p>So we have a difference between what I think and what the aggregate of bettors thinks.</p><p></p><p>So then when I say "I think the Stormers are favourites" it means that I think that the bettors, as a whole, think that the Stormers will win.</p><p></p><p>Now, I might disagree with the bettors as a whole; I might think the opposite of what they think.</p><p></p><p>Therefore, the statements "I think the Stormers will win" and "I think the Stormers are favourites" are <strong>NOT</strong> equivalent.</p><p></p><p>The first sentence is only about what I think. The second sentence is about what I think other people think.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Erich, post: 518376, member: 61829"] [b]not the same[/b] The bold part is key: "I think the Sormers will win" means, quite simply, that [B]I[/B] think the Stormers will win "The Stormers are favourites" means that [B]t[B]he bettors[/B],[/B] as a whole, on average if you will, think the Stormers will win. So we have a difference between what I think and what the aggregate of bettors thinks. So then when I say "I think the Stormers are favourites" it means that I think that the bettors, as a whole, think that the Stormers will win. Now, I might disagree with the bettors as a whole; I might think the opposite of what they think. Therefore, the statements "I think the Stormers will win" and "I think the Stormers are favourites" are [B]NOT[/B] equivalent. The first sentence is only about what I think. The second sentence is about what I think other people think. [/QUOTE]
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Super Rugby play-offs: Stormers - Sharks in Cape Town (28/07/2012)
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