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2024 Guinness Six Nations
Where do teams stand ahead of the WC?
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<blockquote data-quote="Umaga&#039;s Witness" data-source="post: 938709" data-attributes="member: 65365"><p>I think Ireland choked against wales. It doesn't matter how much they improve their function if they choke like that. Simply, a lot of those mistakes wouldn't have happened if they weren't feeling the mental pressure. On the plus side maybe sexton will learn. I don't know how much he has played behind a pack that isn't dominating the breakdown, hence on the Backfoot and not receiving good service? Ireland have for a very long time been exceptional at recycling their own ball, not sure about his club sides?</p><p></p><p>There is a lot of randomness in rugby:, referee calls, bounce of the ball, injuries, choice of referee for certain teams, it's 80 minutes not infinite time...</p><p>I don't think nz have a more than 79 percent chance of beating a given top 8 side, hence they are less than 50 percent chance of winning the whole thing. In other words they prob won't win. Going into other world cups their odds were better. </p><p>My probability breakdown would be</p><p>Nz 29</p><p>Wales 18</p><p>Ireland 16</p><p>Sa 16</p><p>England 13</p><p>Other 8</p><p></p><p>But congrats to wales on the 6n!!!!!!</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Umaga's Witness, post: 938709, member: 65365"] I think Ireland choked against wales. It doesn’t matter how much they improve their function if they choke like that. Simply, a lot of those mistakes wouldn’t have happened if they weren’t feeling the mental pressure. On the plus side maybe sexton will learn. I don’t know how much he has played behind a pack that isn’t dominating the breakdown, hence on the Backfoot and not receiving good service? Ireland have for a very long time been exceptional at recycling their own ball, not sure about his club sides? There is a lot of randomness in rugby:, referee calls, bounce of the ball, injuries, choice of referee for certain teams, it’s 80 minutes not infinite time... I don’t think nz have a more than 79 percent chance of beating a given top 8 side, hence they are less than 50 percent chance of winning the whole thing. In other words they prob won’t win. Going into other world cups their odds were better. My probability breakdown would be Nz 29 Wales 18 Ireland 16 Sa 16 England 13 Other 8 But congrats to wales on the 6n!!!!!! [/QUOTE]
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2024 Guinness Six Nations
Where do teams stand ahead of the WC?
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