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Rugby World Cup 2015
Who will win the RWC
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<blockquote data-quote="ABs2011" data-source="post: 765773" data-attributes="member: 57663"><p>I think I posted my picks from Day 1. I had the ABs winning but OZ as my second pick. </p><p></p><p>I just cashed in my bet on OZ to win (NZ excluded) at $6. OZ to win their pool as well. The way they played in the RC was enough for me, but the fact that they beat the ABs quite convincingly was the clincher!!</p><p></p><p>I think the ABs are a 65% chance of winning this one. It's probable I am underestimating the ABs chances though for some kind of self protection. Perhaps realistically the are more like a 70% chance? Bookies appear to have them at more like 75-80% though!!</p><p></p><p>If the ABs can gain parity at the breakdown they should win. If OZ cant gain the advantage there I dont think the rest of the facets of their game are good enough to be honest. The ABs are just way too good at converting possession into tries. Better than any team. Too much possession, too much quick ball = too many points for OZ to get.</p><p></p><p>I dont think you'll find too many AB fans that wont be very worried about this OZ team though!! They have certainly earnt much respect over here recently!!</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="ABs2011, post: 765773, member: 57663"] I think I posted my picks from Day 1. I had the ABs winning but OZ as my second pick. I just cashed in my bet on OZ to win (NZ excluded) at $6. OZ to win their pool as well. The way they played in the RC was enough for me, but the fact that they beat the ABs quite convincingly was the clincher!! I think the ABs are a 65% chance of winning this one. It's probable I am underestimating the ABs chances though for some kind of self protection. Perhaps realistically the are more like a 70% chance? Bookies appear to have them at more like 75-80% though!! If the ABs can gain parity at the breakdown they should win. If OZ cant gain the advantage there I dont think the rest of the facets of their game are good enough to be honest. The ABs are just way too good at converting possession into tries. Better than any team. Too much possession, too much quick ball = too many points for OZ to get. I dont think you'll find too many AB fans that wont be very worried about this OZ team though!! They have certainly earnt much respect over here recently!! [/QUOTE]
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Who will win the RWC
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