Very disappointed that Marx isn't starting. Also disappointed that Mostert is on the bench. The tiny bit of confidence I had as all but gone. There is 0 benefit to having Mostert come on later. We needed someone like Willemse who could spark something if needed.
I can't help but think Rassie missed a massive trick here. I guess it's time for those free passers to repay the faith now and play out of their skins. The reason Marx was dropped was because his standards were so high that even a small dip would make it seem like he was off form. Mbonambi is decent but he is nowhere near in the same class as Marx is.
My final prediction? England by 12
I agree with Marx should've started. Mbonambi is the more mobile but we'd probably have done better with a Marx coming back into form throughout this RWC starting. Maybe Rassie sees Mbonambi's percieved better line out throwing as the more conservative pick?
Also agree we should've gone for a 4/3 split with Willemse. England aren't going to be blown off the park in the last 20 by one additional lock. De Jager is slightly better in any case and has the ticker to go 80+. Willemse off the bench has potential at least to set up a few breaks. Also means we have a straight swap option should Le Roux not pick up his game. I'd be more comfortable with 12 Steyn / 13 De Allende / 15 Willemse than 12 De Allende / 13 Am / 15 Steyn should we lose Le Roux.
Given the opposition is England I hope we give Louw more time than 15 minutes. But lets see if Kolisi has been saving his best for last. Louw could also come in for Vermeulen giving Vermeulen license to go hard and long. And possibly for this one Reinach ahead of Jantjies. Its great to get Jantjies in for the exposure as he will be a long term option but Reinach has the greater experience (even if just due to age) and knows these English players and have excelled in their comp.
Kind of signals that no, we havn't held anything back. It was always the likeliest but I had hope.
I don't agree with England by a full 12 though. Not in RWC final. My head says England by 2 but with a 7 point margin I give us a lot of chance to take this especially if we are in it past the first 20 or if Willie AND Faf look sharp for once I give it to us. Big if though. Still quietly confident and liking the underdog tag here. Can hardly wait for the game!