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The Clubhouse Bar
A Political Thread pt. 2
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<blockquote data-quote="Bruce_ma gooshvili" data-source="post: 1116960" data-attributes="member: 74121"><p>Its up to over 300 tanks promised by allies, which is more than I expected. NATO pleading with South Korea (technically still at war by NK and next to China and Russia to start supplying Ukraine. I can't see that happening. Similarly US and Germany categorical about not supplying fighter jets. </p><p></p><p>A general air of pessimism seems to have triggered the the tank u-turn. Ukraine is consistently losing Donbas territory now and Russia haven't had a further territorial setback since abandoning Kherson and sourcing Iranian drones (not the kamikaze ones) and (probably) North Korean shells. Seems the old tactic of hurling men at the front and making them more afraid of being executed for 'cowardice' than they are of running into the teeth of the enemy is still effective to some extent in the 2020s, at least during winter. Hopefully Ukrainian tanks become more relevant as the ground dries out. There is literally no reasonable analysis of the situation that I am finding. No explanation for why Ukranian lines in Donetsk that held for about 10 months have started yielding. </p><p></p><p>A really tragic lack of domestic criticism in Russia. I know you are risking jail but I'd have expected Russian mothers to be more vocal by now given the way they held previous governments to account for previous wars. </p><p></p><p>I can see Putin taking Donetsk by May, then claiming 'victory'. But frankly, who knows.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Bruce_ma gooshvili, post: 1116960, member: 74121"] Its up to over 300 tanks promised by allies, which is more than I expected. NATO pleading with South Korea (technically still at war by NK and next to China and Russia to start supplying Ukraine. I can't see that happening. Similarly US and Germany categorical about not supplying fighter jets. A general air of pessimism seems to have triggered the the tank u-turn. Ukraine is consistently losing Donbas territory now and Russia haven't had a further territorial setback since abandoning Kherson and sourcing Iranian drones (not the kamikaze ones) and (probably) North Korean shells. Seems the old tactic of hurling men at the front and making them more afraid of being executed for 'cowardice' than they are of running into the teeth of the enemy is still effective to some extent in the 2020s, at least during winter. Hopefully Ukrainian tanks become more relevant as the ground dries out. There is literally no reasonable analysis of the situation that I am finding. No explanation for why Ukranian lines in Donetsk that held for about 10 months have started yielding. A really tragic lack of domestic criticism in Russia. I know you are risking jail but I'd have expected Russian mothers to be more vocal by now given the way they held previous governments to account for previous wars. I can see Putin taking Donetsk by May, then claiming 'victory'. But frankly, who knows. [/QUOTE]
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