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The Clubhouse Bar
[COVID-19] General Discussion
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<blockquote data-quote="ncurd" data-source="post: 1021824" data-attributes="member: 72205"><p>Just doing some basic Maths on this, just to see how feasible that is</p><p></p><p>Adult UK population is about 51.03 million</p><p>UK assumes a rough 75% uptake rate (1 in 4 are complete nutters) 38.27. I could not find a precise figure just one broken down to different groups.</p><p>We have vaccinated about 17.5 million leaving 20 to go.</p><p> </p><p>We are currently at 390k a day (including second vaccine so that's our current 'capacity') so that's 53 days. So end mid April giving them 2.5 months to give everyone a vaccine.</p><p></p><p>Brains melting now by end of July everyone who has already been vaccinated needs their second so that adds 42 days.</p><p></p><p>We are at 95 days,</p><p></p><p>We also need to 2nd dose everyone who gets a vaccination now until 8th May. Let's be fair a ratio that number guessing that rough 1st doses per day from will be the % of adult population not to yet be vaccinated. And the rest will be 2nd doses. So about 52% of out capacity between now and 8th May needs a 2 jabs not just one. This number is pure guesswork but seams relatively sane. So 76 days, but it's another 40 days of jabs added.</p><p></p><p>That's puts us 135 days which is......*drum roll* I've been typing this as working it out so this as much news to me</p><p></p><p>6th July</p><p></p><p>Looks like as long supply keeps up and extra complication of 2nd doses doesn't cause a slow down in terms vaccinations per day it's an entire feasible goal.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="ncurd, post: 1021824, member: 72205"] Just doing some basic Maths on this, just to see how feasible that is Adult UK population is about 51.03 million UK assumes a rough 75% uptake rate (1 in 4 are complete nutters) 38.27. I could not find a precise figure just one broken down to different groups. We have vaccinated about 17.5 million leaving 20 to go. We are currently at 390k a day (including second vaccine so that's our current 'capacity') so that's 53 days. So end mid April giving them 2.5 months to give everyone a vaccine. Brains melting now by end of July everyone who has already been vaccinated needs their second so that adds 42 days. We are at 95 days, We also need to 2nd dose everyone who gets a vaccination now until 8th May. Let's be fair a ratio that number guessing that rough 1st doses per day from will be the % of adult population not to yet be vaccinated. And the rest will be 2nd doses. So about 52% of out capacity between now and 8th May needs a 2 jabs not just one. This number is pure guesswork but seams relatively sane. So 76 days, but it's another 40 days of jabs added. That's puts us 135 days which is......*drum roll* I've been typing this as working it out so this as much news to me 6th July Looks like as long supply keeps up and extra complication of 2nd doses doesn't cause a slow down in terms vaccinations per day it's an entire feasible goal. [/QUOTE]
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[COVID-19] General Discussion
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