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The Clubhouse Bar
[COVID-19] General Discussion
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<blockquote data-quote="RedruthRFC" data-source="post: 1032164" data-attributes="member: 58362"><p>I'm not sure it's as simple as an x week time lag any more like it was when the original strain was embarking on its world tour. Given that it's B117 that's causing mainland Europe's current woes, I don't see how their problems can "wash up on our shores". Their problem is the problem that we already have because we created it.</p><p></p><p>That's not to say that we're not headed for a fourth lockdown though, but it will be of our own making through overly permissive rules, responding too slowly and / or allowing new strains to enter the country. Lots of the data scientists / medics I follow, who have called things pretty well so far seem to think that we are headed for a fourth lockdown. When Boris first made his carefully worded "shores" prediction I assumed that he agreed and was sewing the seeds of his excuse.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="RedruthRFC, post: 1032164, member: 58362"] I'm not sure it's as simple as an x week time lag any more like it was when the original strain was embarking on its world tour. Given that it's B117 that's causing mainland Europe's current woes, I don't see how their problems can "wash up on our shores". Their problem is the problem that we already have because we created it. That's not to say that we're not headed for a fourth lockdown though, but it will be of our own making through overly permissive rules, responding too slowly and / or allowing new strains to enter the country. Lots of the data scientists / medics I follow, who have called things pretty well so far seem to think that we are headed for a fourth lockdown. When Boris first made his carefully worded "shores" prediction I assumed that he agreed and was sewing the seeds of his excuse. [/QUOTE]
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