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The Clubhouse Bar
[COVID-19] General Discussion
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<blockquote data-quote="Yoshimitsu" data-source="post: 1049789" data-attributes="member: 71899"><p>It depends on what the purpose of the app is? If it's to manage spread, then it's like sticking a very small sticking plaster on the gaping wound of "opening up" when in an exponential phase of viral growth. I'd expect millions of people to be uninstalling the app over the next couple of weeks as there's no way on earth they're going to want a "ping" that stops holiday plans.................</p><p></p><p>What it will do is rapidly cripple the economy unless something changes. The virus is now at prevalence levels across the U.K which approach those of the last peak. However, this time cases are still increasing and there's no social measures in place to significantly mitigate that. What was fit for purpose for managing small numbers of cases isn't going to be fit for dealing with mass infection. Which is where we're at now.</p><p></p><p>Additionally, someone will need to make a call about relative risk vs absolute risk. If the vaccines do indeed protect against transmission, how much is that? If the answer is "significantly", then as well as ignoring pings perhaps positive tests from the double jabbed can also be ignored.......</p><p></p><p>What appears clear to me at the moment is that the current level of efficacy of vaccinations (note not in symptom mitigation terms) is insufficient to stem the spread of the disease and thus positive cases. On a densely populated island (especially in England) an app that reacts to proximity to +ve cases will have exactly the impacts we're seeing.............</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Yoshimitsu, post: 1049789, member: 71899"] It depends on what the purpose of the app is? If it's to manage spread, then it's like sticking a very small sticking plaster on the gaping wound of "opening up" when in an exponential phase of viral growth. I'd expect millions of people to be uninstalling the app over the next couple of weeks as there's no way on earth they're going to want a "ping" that stops holiday plans................. What it will do is rapidly cripple the economy unless something changes. The virus is now at prevalence levels across the U.K which approach those of the last peak. However, this time cases are still increasing and there's no social measures in place to significantly mitigate that. What was fit for purpose for managing small numbers of cases isn't going to be fit for dealing with mass infection. Which is where we're at now. Additionally, someone will need to make a call about relative risk vs absolute risk. If the vaccines do indeed protect against transmission, how much is that? If the answer is "significantly", then as well as ignoring pings perhaps positive tests from the double jabbed can also be ignored....... What appears clear to me at the moment is that the current level of efficacy of vaccinations (note not in symptom mitigation terms) is insufficient to stem the spread of the disease and thus positive cases. On a densely populated island (especially in England) an app that reacts to proximity to +ve cases will have exactly the impacts we're seeing............. [/QUOTE]
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[COVID-19] General Discussion
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