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The Clubhouse Bar
[COVID-19] General Discussion
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<blockquote data-quote="Bada-Bing!" data-source="post: 1070099" data-attributes="member: 70552"><p>Again modelling are projections the Government asks Sage modellers to make and base policy decisions on. There likely won't be an investigation into their modelling because they are not predictions; they just used to inform Govt on policy. They shouldn't be used by General public. But it most probably was by those who read the numbers and in turn changed their behaviour; which was not a bad thing. Also The UK Government chose largely to ignore the worst case scenario modelling otherwise we would have been in lockdown over Xmas. </p><p></p><p>The Omicron variant was so new as well and SA average age population is about 12 years younger than UK's population so very difficult to get numbers of hospitalisations and deaths completely spot on.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Bada-Bing!, post: 1070099, member: 70552"] Again modelling are projections the Government asks Sage modellers to make and base policy decisions on. There likely won’t be an investigation into their modelling because they are not predictions; they just used to inform Govt on policy. They shouldn’t be used by General public. But it most probably was by those who read the numbers and in turn changed their behaviour; which was not a bad thing. Also The UK Government chose largely to ignore the worst case scenario modelling otherwise we would have been in lockdown over Xmas. The Omicron variant was so new as well and SA average age population is about 12 years younger than UK’s population so very difficult to get numbers of hospitalisations and deaths completely spot on. [/QUOTE]
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