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The Clubhouse Bar
[COVID-19] General Discussion
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<blockquote data-quote="ncurd" data-source="post: 990736" data-attributes="member: 72205"><p>Or possibly they are being proactive in upping the scale and response? They raised it immediately once they were sure it was being passed without an area of known origin.</p><p></p><p>The UK is at 90 cases or 0.00000135% of the polulation</p><p></p><p>Italy has 3500 cases or 0.0000496% of the population.</p><p></p><p>So they have 36.74 times more cases in Italy per capita and only just put restrictions you were asking for earlier this week whereas the UK are moving to those stages now.</p><p></p><p>In comparison, to most other nations we are appear to be doing more in response than less.</p><p></p><p></p><p>Of course as I've pointed there out there are other factors, population density in the UK is 1.34 times higher in the UK which increases risk of exposure. How that effects any model is well beyond my expertise.</p><p></p><p></p><p></p><p>I'm all up giving Johnson a kicking he is definitely saying things contrary to what to the briefings people are giving of the measures they are taking. But I think its way too premature to suggest the civil service, NHS and other bodies involved aren't doing anything other than their level best to prevent a extremely serious outbreak directly proportionate to the actual extent of outbreak currently within this country. Lets also remember most experts think a serious outbreak (but lower than the worst case scenario) as inevitable its all about mitigation in response to stage of outbreak we are at.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="ncurd, post: 990736, member: 72205"] Or possibly they are being proactive in upping the scale and response? They raised it immediately once they were sure it was being passed without an area of known origin. The UK is at 90 cases or 0.00000135% of the polulation Italy has 3500 cases or 0.0000496% of the population. So they have 36.74 times more cases in Italy per capita and only just put restrictions you were asking for earlier this week whereas the UK are moving to those stages now. In comparison, to most other nations we are appear to be doing more in response than less. Of course as I've pointed there out there are other factors, population density in the UK is 1.34 times higher in the UK which increases risk of exposure. How that effects any model is well beyond my expertise. I'm all up giving Johnson a kicking he is definitely saying things contrary to what to the briefings people are giving of the measures they are taking. But I think its way too premature to suggest the civil service, NHS and other bodies involved aren't doing anything other than their level best to prevent a extremely serious outbreak directly proportionate to the actual extent of outbreak currently within this country. Lets also remember most experts think a serious outbreak (but lower than the worst case scenario) as inevitable its all about mitigation in response to stage of outbreak we are at. [/QUOTE]
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