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The Clubhouse Bar
[COVID-19] General Discussion
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<blockquote data-quote="ncurd" data-source="post: 991568" data-attributes="member: 72205"><p>That's fair, my simple retort is what does WHO constitute as <strong>early</strong> and <strong>decisive</strong>? just because you don't think the UK's current response is decivie or early enough doesn't mean it is not. Can someone actually quote me an actual expert that is saying the UK is not responding sensibly?</p><p></p><p>Some very basic maths that I have no idea this is actually statistically significant because I don't know what I;m talking about, still interesting thought exercise but lets look at 3 day average since the UK announced its plans (03/03/2020).</p><p></p><p>1st - 3rd: 36.33%</p><p>2nd to 4th: 36%</p><p>3rd to 5th: 44%</p><p>4th to 6th: 47.6%</p><p>5th to 7th: 34.3%</p><p>6th to 8th: 33%</p><p>7th to 9th: 24.6%</p><p></p><p>Now I'm not stupid enough to suggest it will keep going down I honestly don't think the data is meaningful enough.</p><p></p><p></p><p>On your measures you are absolutely right some idiots won't self isolate. But are enough people heeding that advise? Remember the goal isn't to stop people getting infected because that is considered currently impossible but to slow down the rate enough.</p><p>Same with travel known hotspots have advisements to stop all non essential travel, you are advocating a step above but is what is doing enough?</p><p>Mass gatherings, honestly I think mass transit in public systems are way more problematic.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="ncurd, post: 991568, member: 72205"] That's fair, my simple retort is what does WHO constitute as [b]early[/b] and [b]decisive[/b]? just because you don't think the UK's current response is decivie or early enough doesn't mean it is not. Can someone actually quote me an actual expert that is saying the UK is not responding sensibly? Some very basic maths that I have no idea this is actually statistically significant because I don't know what I;m talking about, still interesting thought exercise but lets look at 3 day average since the UK announced its plans (03/03/2020). 1st - 3rd: 36.33% 2nd to 4th: 36% 3rd to 5th: 44% 4th to 6th: 47.6% 5th to 7th: 34.3% 6th to 8th: 33% 7th to 9th: 24.6% Now I'm not stupid enough to suggest it will keep going down I honestly don't think the data is meaningful enough. On your measures you are absolutely right some idiots won't self isolate. But are enough people heeding that advise? Remember the goal isn't to stop people getting infected because that is considered currently impossible but to slow down the rate enough. Same with travel known hotspots have advisements to stop all non essential travel, you are advocating a step above but is what is doing enough? Mass gatherings, honestly I think mass transit in public systems are way more problematic. [/QUOTE]
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