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Rugby Union
Mitre 10 Cup
Does anyone think a team other than Canterbury will win?
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<blockquote data-quote="William18" data-source="post: 597430" data-attributes="member: 38439"><p>Or maybe another team just played better? To me it is only choking if a team has about an 70-80% chance of winning and blows it. I would rate our current chance of winning the ITM Cup at about 55%. Canterbury have about 30%, Auckland 10% and Counties 5%. So we have a greater chance of winning it than anyone else but to me there is still a 45% chance we won't win it.</p><p></p><p>Too many words are thrown around too often and lose their meaning. I mean between 2006 and 2009 we were in 4 finals in a row. Yes we should have won one of those games over that period but in none of those seasons were we a completely dominant side. I also don't believe in the science of choking. They have done studies in MLB for instance which basically prove there is no such thing as clutch hitters. I also don't believe that something like choking can be ingrained. I don't think there is something in the water in Wellington that makes our rugby team lose big games. It's like how in the early 2000's when the AB's had some bad losses and people said we were inferior as a nation to Australia and we were a bunch of chokers. Well, history has not proven that to be the case. 2010 4 nations, world Cup vs Slovakia are immediate instances that come to mind. Obviously I believe that pressure can cause individuals to perform badly; I just don't see why that pressure would disproportionately affect Wellingtonians as opposed to Cantabrians.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="William18, post: 597430, member: 38439"] Or maybe another team just played better? To me it is only choking if a team has about an 70-80% chance of winning and blows it. I would rate our current chance of winning the ITM Cup at about 55%. Canterbury have about 30%, Auckland 10% and Counties 5%. So we have a greater chance of winning it than anyone else but to me there is still a 45% chance we won't win it. Too many words are thrown around too often and lose their meaning. I mean between 2006 and 2009 we were in 4 finals in a row. Yes we should have won one of those games over that period but in none of those seasons were we a completely dominant side. I also don't believe in the science of choking. They have done studies in MLB for instance which basically prove there is no such thing as clutch hitters. I also don't believe that something like choking can be ingrained. I don't think there is something in the water in Wellington that makes our rugby team lose big games. It's like how in the early 2000's when the AB's had some bad losses and people said we were inferior as a nation to Australia and we were a bunch of chokers. Well, history has not proven that to be the case. 2010 4 nations, world Cup vs Slovakia are immediate instances that come to mind. Obviously I believe that pressure can cause individuals to perform badly; I just don't see why that pressure would disproportionately affect Wellingtonians as opposed to Cantabrians. [/QUOTE]
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Mitre 10 Cup
Does anyone think a team other than Canterbury will win?
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