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IRB rankings and RWC 2015 pool draws
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<blockquote data-quote="ZeFrenchy" data-source="post: 541547" data-attributes="member: 47244"><p>I think there are some teams that were quite favoured with the draw:</p><p>- France: It's been said, I won't add anything.</p><p>- Ireland: Any argument you can give in favour of France's draw, you can give it in favour of Irelend's. Except, Ireland wouldn't stand a chance in the QF against the AB would they meet, whereas France hold a slim but non-zero chance.</p><p>- ARGENTINA: Yes, they will come second of their pool. But they will meet France or Ireland then, and they are certainly capable of beating any of the two. For the semis, they will not be facing the AB, and I think they stand a chance against pretty much any team. I think they are the underdogs to reach the final (and, for those who like to bet, Bwin pays 80/1 for Argentina to win the WC while other sites pay 33/1 and take bets against it...)</p><p></p><p></p><p>I don't consider South Africa particularly lucky. They avoided England and Wales, but would've probably beaten them anyway.</p><p></p><p>The betting odds for WC winner and pool bets are available already (see <a href="http://www.oddschecker.com/rugby-union/rugby-world-cup" target="_blank">here</a> for instance), and there are some interesting things: Australia are only the fifth favourites (after NZ, SA, FRA and ENG), and while Australia and England pay the same price to top the pool, England are considered more likely to progress to the QF. Samoa is just ahead of Scotland, while Tonga and Italy are 5/1 and 3/1 underdogs to qualify (Fiji pays 20/1 to qualify).</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="ZeFrenchy, post: 541547, member: 47244"] I think there are some teams that were quite favoured with the draw: - France: It's been said, I won't add anything. - Ireland: Any argument you can give in favour of France's draw, you can give it in favour of Irelend's. Except, Ireland wouldn't stand a chance in the QF against the AB would they meet, whereas France hold a slim but non-zero chance. - ARGENTINA: Yes, they will come second of their pool. But they will meet France or Ireland then, and they are certainly capable of beating any of the two. For the semis, they will not be facing the AB, and I think they stand a chance against pretty much any team. I think they are the underdogs to reach the final (and, for those who like to bet, Bwin pays 80/1 for Argentina to win the WC while other sites pay 33/1 and take bets against it...) I don't consider South Africa particularly lucky. They avoided England and Wales, but would've probably beaten them anyway. The betting odds for WC winner and pool bets are available already (see [URL="http://www.oddschecker.com/rugby-union/rugby-world-cup"]here[/URL] for instance), and there are some interesting things: Australia are only the fifth favourites (after NZ, SA, FRA and ENG), and while Australia and England pay the same price to top the pool, England are considered more likely to progress to the QF. Samoa is just ahead of Scotland, while Tonga and Italy are 5/1 and 3/1 underdogs to qualify (Fiji pays 20/1 to qualify). [/QUOTE]
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