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Rugby Union
International Test Matches
[June Tests 2018: 1st Test] New Zealand vs. France (09/06/2018)
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<blockquote data-quote="smartcooky" data-source="post: 907548" data-attributes="member: 20605"><p>I saw an analysis somewhere (I can't recall where, I'll dig it out and post it if I do) that in the last few years, at top level rugby, yellow cards have not made a great deal of difference as far as tries conceded during the time the team is one player short. This is thought to be because these top level teams have predetermined strategies for minimizing the impact of losing a player, and that strategy can be different depending on which player goes.</p><p></p><p>I think the score would not have been much different, and that the All Blacks would still have opened them up in the last 20. Their tactics were clear... kicking over the top to force the French to drop players back in cover depleted the French defensive line, then pushing the ball wide using two pods of three forwards in midfield (plus the ever present threat of the kick-pass to the wing) forced them to defend across the whole field. Once that happened the All Blacks' playmakers unleashed hell and the French had no answer to it. Even if they did, they had so little second half possession (32%) and territory (26%) that they couldn't have done much about anyway.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="smartcooky, post: 907548, member: 20605"] I saw an analysis somewhere (I can't recall where, I'll dig it out and post it if I do) that in the last few years, at top level rugby, yellow cards have not made a great deal of difference as far as tries conceded during the time the team is one player short. This is thought to be because these top level teams have predetermined strategies for minimizing the impact of losing a player, and that strategy can be different depending on which player goes. I think the score would not have been much different, and that the All Blacks would still have opened them up in the last 20. Their tactics were clear... kicking over the top to force the French to drop players back in cover depleted the French defensive line, then pushing the ball wide using two pods of three forwards in midfield (plus the ever present threat of the kick-pass to the wing) forced them to defend across the whole field. Once that happened the All Blacks' playmakers unleashed hell and the French had no answer to it. Even if they did, they had so little second half possession (32%) and territory (26%) that they couldn't have done much about anyway. [/QUOTE]
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[June Tests 2018: 1st Test] New Zealand vs. France (09/06/2018)
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