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Rugby Union
Rugby World Cup 2023
[RWC2023] England vs Japan (17/09/2023)
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<blockquote data-quote="Leonormous Boozer" data-source="post: 1147730" data-attributes="member: 45598"><p>Basically any semi prominent rugby poster comes up on my "for you" feed so I'm exposed to some mad opinions and Squidge hasn't actually been that bad recently. Turns out he was saving the hot takes and mental ************ to take to the next level during the world cup. He also used "I'm just a purist" to explain why yesterday was a good game. It's likely that the Venn diagram of why him and I enjoy rugby are two isolated circles but I still can't believe that to be anything other than a bare faced lie!</p><p></p><p>The whole England being contenders thing is just pandering to his biggest audience, it has plausible deniability of "well, it was never really realistic" and if they reach a semi / final he can claim he was right. </p><p></p><p>I think England have set their stall early with regards to their approach and for a team in their position I think it's a good one. They're not going to try to innovate or attack with ambition, they'll set a strong defence, apply scoreboard pressure where they can and set a mark to beat, nothing more. I think it works more than 50% of the time against 13 teams in the comp, about 50% of the time v Fiji, it could catch any of NZ, France or Scotland cold but then you get closer to the 1 out of 10 region v SA and Ireland due to them being able to score going through the phases and generally keeping teams to less than 15-20 points. I think Borthwick knows he's long odds and coupled with the knowledge that 3 of his 5 biggest threats will be knocked out by each other he is just trying to eek out some positive EV. </p><p></p><p>The bad news for fans is that I think Farrell comes back in because of this. Outside of Ford you've weak tactical kicking options, yesterday is the only example you need, and it's the most vital part of the strategy. You need a second viable option here and it's Junior.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Leonormous Boozer, post: 1147730, member: 45598"] Basically any semi prominent rugby poster comes up on my "for you" feed so I'm exposed to some mad opinions and Squidge hasn't actually been that bad recently. Turns out he was saving the hot takes and mental ************ to take to the next level during the world cup. He also used "I'm just a purist" to explain why yesterday was a good game. It's likely that the Venn diagram of why him and I enjoy rugby are two isolated circles but I still can't believe that to be anything other than a bare faced lie! The whole England being contenders thing is just pandering to his biggest audience, it has plausible deniability of "well, it was never really realistic" and if they reach a semi / final he can claim he was right. I think England have set their stall early with regards to their approach and for a team in their position I think it's a good one. They're not going to try to innovate or attack with ambition, they'll set a strong defence, apply scoreboard pressure where they can and set a mark to beat, nothing more. I think it works more than 50% of the time against 13 teams in the comp, about 50% of the time v Fiji, it could catch any of NZ, France or Scotland cold but then you get closer to the 1 out of 10 region v SA and Ireland due to them being able to score going through the phases and generally keeping teams to less than 15-20 points. I think Borthwick knows he's long odds and coupled with the knowledge that 3 of his 5 biggest threats will be knocked out by each other he is just trying to eek out some positive EV. The bad news for fans is that I think Farrell comes back in because of this. Outside of Ford you've weak tactical kicking options, yesterday is the only example you need, and it's the most vital part of the strategy. You need a second viable option here and it's Junior. [/QUOTE]
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[RWC2023] England vs Japan (17/09/2023)
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