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How prepared?

Yoe, there is very little on the matter you can say to me, at least, which I have not said to myself and probably in more venomous tones to boot. Again, I know I'm not alone - I think I might be in the majority. You're largely right. England 2003 had a lot of ways to break a game and if one didn't work they would turn to another. England 2013 do not have that. We have a lot of resilience and discipline, we are largely difficult to put down, and if a side makes errors we will usually punish that. But that is not enough against top teams. Against top teams, you need ways of breaking a game, even if it is only to apply the pressure from which the 3 pointers come. I think we agree there.

England's game breaking ability right now is close to minimal. Basically, we have huge defence, and a huge amount of graft. Those are our game breaking abilities. The breakdown, big ball carriers, open field runners, the set piece, tactical kicking... not specialities. We have a squad packed full of 7/10 players and units, players who will hold it fast and make a positive contribution to a test match and work their balls off, and not so many players or units will who turn a tight game, or break a good defence, or simply put the fear of god into somebody. To go through it, unit by unit

Front Row - Cole and Corbs is about as good as it gets, for us and for most people. Together they're a strong scrummaging unit, very industrious around the field, and offer both carrying and breakdown work. Corbs is injury prone though, and Cole's progress has stalled slightly. Behind Corbs, the new scrummaging rules weren't made with Mako in mind; Marler could kick on a lot with them, but needs to prove his work rate. Wilson is theoretically good cover/competition but untested. Behind them are mainly kids, although I believe in Mullan. Not sure I believe in Youngs. Some great attributes, may never master the lineout. Don't like Hartley. Webber? My bet is on 7/10. Feel a lot rests on the young hookers - LCD , Haywood, Buchanan, Britton, Yeandle, Morris - any of them could be it. But that's time, just like time for Sinckler/Thomas. Not far off what we need at full strength, some distance as a 80 minute unit.

Second Row - Tons of everything but grunt and size. Attwood, the grunt messiah, is no Etzebeth or Retallick. Maybe someone like Matthews, Merrick or Stooke will get there; then again, maybe not. Athletic ball-playing locks we have in abundance mind. I think the second row might be a weak spot in the tight game for some time to come, good as they are elsewhere.

Back-row - Robshaw and Wood are the living totems of England's strengths and weaknesses. This is fine - good even - if offset by the right players, but there's a reason I love Croft so much. The Flowerpot Men at 8 might finally give us consistent balance in the back-row - I still like to have another carrier. Kvesic can offer it at 7, if he's good enough, Fraser could free up a 6 to go roaming, if he's good enough. Probably not too far off.

Half-backs - Here it gets messy. Youngs is flirting with form and fitness, Care refuses to take the chances offered, Dickson isn't good enough, Flood hasn't nailed down what he can do, Farrell needs to come out of his shell and create, and Burns needs to be less sloppy. On form there are some cracking combinations there, but form seems more fragile that glass elephant cages. Looking at the kids - any of Robson/Fowles/Braley/Townsend might be useful - Slade/Ford isn't quite the same prospects in bulk deal - but they're a couple of years off at best I think. Some players need to put their hands up here and offer consistency. At least on top form we have a very dangerous breaking scrum-half, whoever they may be. Could be some time before we get what we need here.

Centres - Tuilagi is the real deal but cannot do it alone - we won't win much without giving him opportunities and we won't win much if he doesn't distribute it more. He can. His back-up is unknown. 12... I fear Twelvetrees will be a 7/10. Barritt is that if we're generous, but his defence is key and difficult to replace. Eastmond is intriguing. The next generation ain't calling to me here.

Back-three - So much raw talent, so much stupidity in picking it. We could turn up with a World Class (on form) trio tomorrow, or the Saracens back three. They need to know what the team inside them looks like.

Going through that... yeah, I feel sure in my answer. I didn't name many special players, too few units seem close to where we want them. We don't need an entirely world class team, j'nuh, and we can always fluke it, but most World Cup winners have 5 world class players in the team, that's the generally agreed benchmark. If we want a real shot, that's what we want. And... maybe I'm being overly harsh, but I see a real problem with power in the pack, and the 9-10-12 axis is just a gigantic tangle. And so far, the quality to overcome these things aren't there.
 
I don't think we need to be entirely world class to win a tournament.

Equally... a pool with Wales and Australia in, I can see us not even reaching the knockouts...

OH MY GOD THANK GOD THIS FORUM HAS AUTO-SAVE, I THOUGHT I'D LOST ALL OF THIS...hwewwwww

- I absolutely agree. England in particular has the ability to say in a specific era where they don't have great players throughout: "alright, this is what we have, let's methodically analyze our potential and work out the best way to develop the full potential of our team"; while other teams at the same time, like France, may have better individual players with all kinds of talent and potential but we fail as a team.
* A brutal example of this is of course the 2007 RWC. England grinds out a win against the Wallabies, low score, tight as hell, but sure enough qualified for the 1/2 F. Meanwhile, France epically defeats the All Blacks, yay yay yay, tries scored and fireworks and all that good stuff; a very solid team on paper and BAM. England says see you later and leaves France behind with a bitter close defeat, and the England team wasn't remotely close to the previous RWC's side on paper and find their way rightfully and legally to the Final, nothing short of the RWC Final.

I don't think England needs much more than what they have on paper right now, and it's not like they're nearly 'bad'. But I do think specific match-ups may be a problem.

- England will make it out of the Pools. You know your country, I'll repeat that point: English pride cannot, ever, be denied. France at home, staying in the pools would be a horrible occurrence, everybody would bark for some time....maybe even a long time...but then we'd start saying things like "aahhh we can't always win can we, we've been good and even great other times......" " aaahhhh we'll get the next one" "man, Wales and Australia were just too tough man, we had the hardest pool by far man" " one of the 3 had to stay behind you know..."

In England ? I think the ppl would see it as losing a World War. The shame would be like the scar in Frodo's soul after getting rid of the ring or smt...no way will England stay behind. As an outsider, let me give you that confidence, England cannot possibly stay behind.
They *might* lose the Wales one, and that's if Wales bring their legendary bloodlust like they did against England in 2013, or France in 2008 (for the GS); but they'll beat the Aussies then.
And if England loses one game in the pools, they'll destroy who ever's next and make sure they put points on that board.

But...if England finish second in the Pool, they face South Africa for sure. If they finish 1st, they face and beat Samoa for sure and find their way to the semis.
 
12... I fear Twelvetrees will be a 7/10. Barritt is that if we're generous, but his defence is key and difficult to replace. Eastmond is intriguing. The next generation ain't calling to me here.

36 could go either way, we'll see.

I have no doubts about Kyle's ability - his passing combined with Manu (not to mention Yarde or Wade) could be something genuinely special.
You only have to see the plaudits he gets from pretty much everyone who has played/coached him.
The only (single) worry I have about him is how he will cope with the physicality of international rugby.
By that, I don't mean I have any questions about his ability to stop ball carriers (on or before the gainline!), only how his body will cope with it.
 
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Going through that... yeah, I feel sure in my answer. I didn't name many special players, too few units seem close to where we want them. We don't need an entirely world class team, j'nuh, and we can always fluke it, but most World Cup winners have 5 world class players in the team, that's the generally agreed benchmark. If we want a real shot, that's what we want. And... maybe I'm being overly harsh, but I see a real problem with power in the pack, and the 9-10-12 axis is just a gigantic tangle. And so far, the quality to overcome these things aren't there.
Right now we don't have 5 world class players, BUT...

Corbisiero, Cole, Launchbury and Tuilagi I have high hopes on making that cut. Corbs and Cole will be 27-28 by the WC, and in theory coming into their best years. A number of the current top teams international props, such as James, Jenkins and Jones for Wales, Mas for France, Ross for Ireland, du Plessis and Steenkamp for SA, Tony Woodcock for NZ, will be 32+ years old. Some are able to keep at their best above this age, others falter. Point is that I think England may well be the only team with a class loosehead and tighthead in the right years of their career. The progress Launchbury has made in such a short space of time is remarkable, and everyone knows Tuilagi is among the premier ball crashers in the world, and it's not so much a matter of how good he is, but how well you use him.

As for others... I'm clutching at straws a little. Foden is a class fullback at his best. Will he ever get back to it? Not sure. It's early to be touting Kvesic considering his age, but I have high hopes. Ashton, when in form and used correctly, would be an asset to any country despite his weaknesses. Any one of Wade/May/Yarde could get in that bracket in that time - wings can hit their best when very young. In the back row? A lot depends on form, as any of Croft, Wood, Robshaw and Morgan could be fleetingly world class, even if they don't sustain it for years like someone like Parisse has.
 
It's hard to gauge where Ireland are. One thing I'm sure of is they're in better shape with Joe Schmidt at the helm than they were with the previous coaching team.

I think the last 6 Nations will benefit Ireland hugely in their World Cup preparations. A new coach is coming in and many of the next generation were already blooded during the spring. Paddy Jackson, Ian Madigan, Craig Gilroy, Iain Henderson, Luke Marshall, Simon Zebo, Dave Kilcoyne, Richardt Strauss and more have a taste of the international setup and won't need 3 or 4 games to adjust to the level. That will help Joe schmidt hit the ground running.

Ireland's main issues to sort out ahead of 2015 are at tighthead, second row and centre.
 
Don't forget it's essentially a home tournament for Wales as well.

they're playing both England and Australia in Twickenham. Those two matches alone may signify their demise !

EDIT: as for France, I know nobody on here really cares so I'll make it short !
As spread over a few threads before this one here, I believe we're exactly on the right track since just about this season started.
Things looked bleak during the 2013 6N. Michalak started his absolute downfall, all of a sudden we didn't have a true FB and had to start Toulousain Huget at 15. We'd lose in Italy to start it off, but this slope we were on only became a constant...
But besides the 30-0 in NZ which was to be fair, an anomaly, we didn't lose huge to anyone in 2013. The Top 14 is getting just more and more competitive, while Toulon still headline our league there are new names at the top of the rankings each week, strong sides with a lot of young French players developing and competing against the best in the world, French or int'l.
We won't have that horrible "hole" teams have when an entire generation retires and it takes another generation to get a good side again. We've actually got those sweet "first world problems" again, not sure who to select for the no.10 or no.15 which were a huge, huge hole just some months ago for the XV de France.
The transition won't happen at all for us, as new blood will be injected smoothly while older chunks will just fall off gracefully and naturally.

And in stead of enumerating our qualities, I'd rather look at our flaws: "structurally" we don't have big holes as all positions are fairly filled. Our problem will be our consistency - i.e. the moral, our psychology - French teams need that hunger, so maybe it'll take a pool defeat AGAIN to awaken our true 'blueness'.
The gameplan under Saint-André seems stale, uncreative and without any kind of go-to option. Coaching, I hope, will improve as we stabilize our starting XV, players develop concrete chemistry and our coach blends into the whole equation. We may still be a little too "new" despite many familiar old faces featuring on our screens; and are in a relative rebuilding stage, still.
 
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That pool with England, Wales and Aus might just be the most harsh a pool of death has been at a RWC yet IMO. What makes it so interesting is that all three are on a par (okay maybe Aus are in a dip but they have key forward players out and I'd back them to be at the same level) and if one looks at recent results it's almost a paper-rock-scissors scenario.

That said I can't see England not progressing, not at home.

Right now we don't have 5 world class players, BUT...

Corbisiero, Cole, Launchbury and Tuilagi I have high hopes on making that cut. Corbs and Cole will be 27-28 by the WC, and in theory coming into their best years. A number of the current top teams international props, such as James, Jenkins and Jones for Wales, Mas for France, Ross for Ireland, du Plessis and Steenkamp for SA, Tony Woodcock for NZ, will be 32+ years old. Some are able to keep at their best above this age, others falter. Point is that I think England may well be the only team with a class loosehead and tighthead in the right years of their career. The progress Launchbury has made in such a short space of time is remarkable, and everyone knows Tuilagi is among the premier ball crashers in the world, and it's not so much a matter of how good he is, but how well you use him.

As for others... I'm clutching at straws a little. Foden is a class fullback at his best. Will he ever get back to it? Not sure. It's early to be touting Kvesic considering his age, but I have high hopes. Ashton, when in form and used correctly, would be an asset to any country despite his weaknesses. Any one of Wade/May/Yarde could get in that bracket in that time - wings can hit their best when very young. In the back row? A lot depends on form, as any of Croft, Wood, Robshaw and Morgan could be fleetingly world class, even if they don't sustain it for years like someone like Parisse has.

Mtawarira is 28 and Oosthuizen 24 ATM and we have options coming through where 2014 SR should see them get time at a top level. I'd be surprised if JdP and Steenkamp were playing test rugby next year but HM is nothing if not conservative. As for 5 world XV candidate players.. maybe SA can, we have 2/3 probably ATM, 3/4 if BdP and Strauss could count at 2 at the same time but for 5 then some of the youngsters will have to come through in time.

EDIT: Mujati is also only 28 but it seems that he is unwilling to play tests for SA so that's that.
 
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New Zealand is trucking along nicely... The only areas of concern are hooker and arguably midfield.

At hooker Hore is not going to make 2015, and Mealamu possibly won't. Coles is coming along, though is still green, and I wouldn't say he's close to being world class at all. We've got a couple of young hookers (Rhys Marshall, Liam Coltman and Nathan Harris are the selector's favourites, by the looks of it), at least one of whom will need to be blooded on the end of year tour.

Nonu looks set to take a sabbatical at the end of this year, meaning we won't have any proven second five options immediately. Saili will be good for the World Cup, I have no doubt. It also looks like SBW might be back next year, but either way he'll definitely be available for 2015. With Nonu returning for the WC too, I don't really see second five as a major issue. Saili is playing a few games at outside centre now, which is good for his development. Likewise, Ben Smith will get some game time at 13 on the EOYT, as Conrad Smith will be taking a break. We SHOULD have this position covered.

Other than that, we have a bunch of good props, a few good (arguably world class) locks, three young promising halfbacks and two older ex-All Blacks waiting in the reserves, three first fives (two world class) and a number of brilliant outside backs. The loose forwards, although well stocked, will be an interesting position to watch over the next two years. Will McCaw still be good enough to start come 2015? Will Messam retain his place in the squad? There are a number of interesting questions which won't be answered until soon before the World Cup.
 
All Blacks

props: should be safe although loosehead side is a tad weak. got tony woodcock the elder statesmen who should make the squad, crockett who is good except far from world class and ben franks. beats me why he dosnt get more game time, he could form a very powerful front row with his brother on the otherside. then theres joe moody and reg goodes with an outside chance. on the tighthead side we are sorted, with owen franks (worldclass), charlie faumuina and ben afeaki. ben tameifuna would be in with a shot if he became fitter.

hookers: area of concern for the AB's. Andrew Hore expected to retire, mealamu probably wont make it, which only leaves coles. whos progressing nicley but not sure if he will be world class by 2015. then theres liam coltman, rhys marshall and nathen harris who all need to be exposed to the side soon, or we will face being extremely unprepared at hooker.

locks: sorted. three world class players in sam whitelock (maybe worlds best), luke ramano and brodie retallick. then the 4th spot will probs go to the young gun dominic bird

backrow: should be sorted. at blindside luatua will more then likley be the starting 6. i back mccaw to make it and cane to be his established backup by 2015. read sound at 8. brad shields, liam messam, luke whitelock (who i personally dont think has much chance) and matt todd will fight it out for the other spots. then of course there are others with an outside chance like kaino, vito and ardie savea. NZ seems to have a production line of great loosies.

halfback: three exceptional young players coming through in aaron smith, tawera kerr- barlow and tj perenara who will more then likely be the three to make the squad.

first five: three great players. sound

centers: ?? will nonu make it? will sonny bill start? will francis saili make the squad? what about tom taylor? conrad smith will probs be the incumbent 13. who are his backups? ben smith (common his best in the back three)?? ryan crotty? maybe a young fella like jason emery? some work to do here

wings: epic players in savea, ben smith, corey jane potentially depending what form he returns to. also frank halai whos a beeast! others like, tim nai nai williams or robbie robbinson are best off making the squad at wing

fullbacks: israel dagg (hasnt been at his absolute best latley) but i back him to shine by 2015. charles piutau, great player will get more gametime by 2015 (being moved to centre for the blues next year from what i hear). robbie robbinson?? tim nai nai williams?? gareth anscombe?? should be sorted
 
All Blacks

props: should be safe although loosehead side is a tad weak. got tony woodcock the elder statesmen who should make the squad, crockett who is good except far from world class and ben franks. beats me why he dosnt get more game time, he could form a very powerful front row with his brother on the otherside. then theres joe moody and reg goodes with an outside chance. on the tighthead side we are sorted, with owen franks (worldclass), charlie faumuina and ben afeaki. ben tameifuna would be in with a shot if he became fitter.

hookers: area of concern for the AB's. Andrew Hore expected to retire, mealamu probably wont make it, which only leaves coles. whos progressing nicley but not sure if he will be world class by 2015. then theres liam coltman, rhys marshall and nathen harris who all need to be exposed to the side soon, or we will face being extremely unprepared at hooker.

locks: sorted. three world class players in sam whitelock (maybe worlds best), luke ramano and brodie retallick. then the 4th spot will probs go to the young gun dominic bird

backrow: should be sorted. at blindside luatua will more then likley be the starting 6. i back mccaw to make it and cane to be his established backup by 2015. read sound at 8. brad shields, liam messam, luke whitelock (who i personally dont think has much chance) and matt todd will fight it out for the other spots. then of course there are others with an outside chance like kaino, vito and ardie savea. NZ seems to have a production line of great loosies.

halfback: three exceptional young players coming through in aaron smith, tawera kerr- barlow and tj perenara who will more then likely be the three to make the squad.

first five: three great players. sound

centers: ?? will nonu make it? will sonny bill start? will francis saili make the squad? what about tom taylor? conrad smith will probs be the incumbent 13. who are his backups? ben smith (common his best in the back three)?? ryan crotty? maybe a young fella like jason emery? some work to do here

wings: epic players in savea, ben smith, corey jane potentially depending what form he returns to. also frank halai whos a beeast! others like, tim nai nai williams or robbie robbinson are best off making the squad at wing

fullbacks: israel dagg (hasnt been at his absolute best latley) but i back him to shine by 2015. charles piutau, great player will get more gametime by 2015 (being moved to centre for the blues next year from what i hear). robbie robbinson?? tim nai nai williams?? gareth anscombe?? should be sorted

The reason why Ben Franks doesn't start more - is he is a pretty average scrummager. That easy. Faumuina isn't an amazing scrummager either.

Althought not a loosehead, I'm extremely excited about Jeffery Toomaga-Allen - for the first time in a very long time Wellington looks to have the best scrum in the ITM Cup by a fair distance - and he's still only 22. I've also been impressed with John Schwalger since his return - although probably not likely to get that loosehead spot.
 

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