- Dec 3, 2010
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Rassie Erasmus and Jacques Nienbar had 21 months with SA prior to the RWC. If player depth isn't a massive issue than 2 years is plenty of time for a coach to put their stamp on a team.In terms of time - 2 years isn't enough time for a new coach to put new processes, and new game-plan in place, tinkered to the real world and polished in time for a RWC. We're too late to do that unless promoting from within and continuing Eddie's grand plan without Eddie.
1 year is longer than you can expect a dead-cat bounce to last if it's change for change's sake. We're too early to make the most of a bounce for just providing a change.
Joe Schmidt is another example, in autumn of 2013 he took over from Declan Kidney whose gameplan was fit for the late 2000s and he won his first two Six Nations and didn't lose a test match outside of the 6n after his first window until the World Cup QF which was because of depth issues during an injury crisis.
It's a pivotal year in terms of head coach in my opinion (2nd in the RWC Cycle) and one where you really should be showing progress. Ireland and the UK sides have questions to be answered regarding whether or not they have the right man for the job right now. EJ has a lot of credit in the bank and positive wins over Ireland and in his Autumn tests, which I'd back him to get, will be more than enough. Townsend is flattering to deceive as per, Farrell can barely plan 2 weeks into the future and it's anyone's guess whether Wales are close to where they could be or not under Pivac. Assuming there'll be summer rugby, if the problems continue throughout the next two test windows with any of them the prudent play would be to replace them and at least part of their extended backroom team.
Any later than this year and you're really only giving the new coach one Autumn Series, one 6n and world cup warm ups to prepare because the summer tours are not a time to introduce new systems with unions regularly opting for interim coaches rather than replacements if they sack post 6nations.