Not meaning to single you out / pick on your opinion, just interested to hear our logic - who are you putting as favourites to beat SA in the knock out stages? Given that you're predicting a pool loss to NZ, SA will be going through the bottom half of the draw, meaning that they're highly likely to face Ireland, the winner of which is will (if the world rankings are to be believed ) face Wales. I'd have no problem saying that 2018 Ireland would be favourites to go through this bottom half, but since they've stopped bulldozing anything in front of them, I would put SA as favourites for this match and to beat whoever they end up against in the semi-final. Wales look a bit lightweight up front, I could see SA seriously outmuscling them. Of the other possibles, you'd have to give SA the edge of the other southern hemisphere sides given the RC results. Unless the planets align big style for France, SA would be favourites against them. Maybe England would start as favourites, but probably not given that to end up in that position, they would have had to lose to Argentina or France.