Bath's unavailable should be
Lawrence, Coetzee, (Harris) - injured
Underhill - banned
? Redpath - injury doubt
On selection, I think JvG prefers to start Stuart, with TdT on the bench.
Will can be an immovable rock against their best LHP, TdT can then go to town destroying their backup. Also means that he's charging for the line from 1-2m out against tired legs/brains.
Equally, I think he wants his most exploitative ball carrying 8 on the bench to make hay after the workrate battering ram has been doing his job for 55 minutes; which means Reid starts, Barbeary benches.
That's the "bomb squad" / "wrecking crew" mentality IMO - not just having more starter-quality players to pack the bench with; but with having your more explosive option on the bench (key positions at least) to fully exploit any tired legs they can find out there.
I've a little doubt on Maloney vs Staddon on the bench... Must be a temptation (again, think "bomb squad") to have a full backrow on the bench, and trust Hill/Bayliss to cover lock if necessary - which we can do if we don't ask Ewels&Roux to do any real carrying - tackle your man, defend your try line, but more-or-less go from set piece to set piece. Of course, there's also the option of Richards to "properly" cover both lock and backrow...
IF FIT, then Redpath over Butt; but they play a different roll - so I think it also means being fit to play already, to play a full part in training during the week.
I trust Cam's judgement in defence more, and his hands. I also have him as a better jackler for what that's worth at IC (a lot if Pepper can deliver a tackled ballcarrier at his feet). Both need 2 defenders to keep an eye on them, albeit for different reasons. Will is probably better at committing that second defender, but Cam better at getting the ball out to whoever has that extra step of space created by the defender's doubt.
The only other question for the 23 was put to bed on Friday, with Orlando starting and Ciaran wrapped in cotton wool.
We'll need Ben and Finn to be knock-out mode, exerting full control and keeping calm heads and clear instructions. Getting sucked into a high-tempo, loose-ball match is how we lost the home match back in Week 3.
I'd select
Obano, Dunn, Stuart
Ewels, Roux
Hill, Pepper, Reid
Spencer, Russell
Redpath/Butt, Ojomoh
Muir, Cokanasiga, DeGlanville
Annett, VanWyk, DuToit, Richards, Bayliss, Barbeary
Carr-Smith, Donoghue