Rugby World Cup 2019 predictions

Discussion in 'Rugby World Cup 2019' started by Dropkick1, May 10, 2017.

  1. RugbyUSA

    RugbyUSA Academy Player

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    I'm cheering for the USA of course, but I think New Zealand will win the 2019 Rugby World Cup.
     
    Last edited: Sep 7, 2019
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  3. ratsapprentice

    ratsapprentice Hall of Fame

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    I think Russia could get beaten by 100+ points.
     
  4. The Alpha Bro

    The Alpha Bro Fat Boi

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    If they had NZ or England I'd be placing bets on a world record score.
     
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  5. ratsapprentice

    ratsapprentice Hall of Fame

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    They've gone backwards in the last 10 years, it seems.

    Although I'll admit I haven't followed t2 rugby closely in a long time.
     
  6. TommiG88

    TommiG88 First XV

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    Did they lose to Connacht?

    I saw that they lost to Jersey!
     
  7. ratsapprentice

    ratsapprentice Hall of Fame

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    42 - 14
     
  8. TommiG88

    TommiG88 First XV

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    Yeah, I expect Scotland to put 100 on them.

    Japan will put on 70.
     
  9. TRF_Olyy

    TRF_Olyy English Arrogance

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    Since Steve Diamond left.

    That's not with Sale tinted glasses or anything, but he was heavily involved in every aspect of Russian rugby from grassroots to their (semi?) Pro League to their national side and got them to their first ever world cup.
    Since he left they have guys they ship in to coach the national side for a few months a year while also moonlighting for other sides and they've gone to ****. They're never gonna be challenging the tier 1 sides but they've got the player base and talent to be on the level of the Canada's/America's out there.
    Especially as their national sports are so physical they should mop up any athletes who grew up wrestling or playing ice hockey.
     
  10. Leinster Fan

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    Jacob Stockdale probably won't start against them but if he does I can see him wrapping the tournament top try scorer prize up in that game alone.
     
  11. Brigantine

    Brigantine Bench Player

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    Last update before the opening match.
    Ireland go into the RWC holding the Raeburn Shield and ranked #1, but New Zealand still have the best chance of winning. (because they have a more favourable draw at the QF stage)

    RWC Projection Pie Chart 2019-09-09.png RWC Projections Box-Whisker-Weighted-Interpolation 2019-09-09.gif

    Chances to earn automatic qualification for RWC 2023 (top 3 in pool):
    • 100% - Pool A - Ireland
    • 100% - Pool B - New Zealand
    • 100% - Pool C - England
    • 100% - Pool B - South Africa
    • >99.9% - Pool D - Wales
    • 98.8% - Pool D - Australia
    • 98.6% - Pool A - Scotland
    • 97.0% - Pool A - Japan
    • 95.0% - Pool B - Italy
    • 91.5% - Pool C - France
    • 75% - Pool D - Fiji
    • 69% - Pool C - Argentina
    • 26% - Pool D - Georgia
    • 23% - Pool C - USA
    • 16% - Pool C - Tonga
    • 4.0% - Pool A - Samoa
    • 2.5% - Pool B - Canada
    • 2.5% - Pool B - Namibia
    • 0.5% - Pool D - Uruguay
    • 0.1% - Pool A - Russia
    Chances to progress to Quarterfinals (top 2 in pool):
    • 100% - Pool B - New Zealand
    • 99.8% - Pool B - South Africa
    • 99.5% - Pool C - England
    • 98.4% - Pool A - Ireland
    • 97.0% - Pool D - Wales
    • 87% - Pool D - Australia
    • 69% - Pool C - France
    • 59% - Pool A - Scotland
    • 43% - Pool A - Japan
    • 25% - Pool C - Argentina
    • 15% - Pool D - Fiji
    • 4.5% - Pool C - USA
    • 3.0% - Pool C - Tonga
    • 1.8% - Pool D - Georgia
    • 0.3% - Pool A - Samoa
    • 0.3% - Pool B - Italy
    • 0% - Pool D - Uruguay
    • 0% - Pool A - Russia
    • 0% - Pool B - Canada
    • 0% - Pool B - Namibia
    Chances to top pool:
    • 91.5% - Pool C - England
    • 89% - Pool A - Ireland
    • 68% - Pool D - Wales
    • 60% - Pool B - New Zealand
    • 40% - Pool B - South Africa
    • 30% - Pool D - Australia
    • 7.5% - Pool A - Scotland
    • 7.5% - Pool C - France
    • 4.0% - Pool A - Japan
    • 1.6% - Pool D - Fiji
    • 1.0% - Pool C - Argentina
    • >0.1% - Pool D - Georgia
    • 0% - Pool C - USA
    • 0% - Pool B - Italy
    • 0% - Pool C - Tonga
    • 0% - Pool A - Samoa
    Chances to progress to Semifinals:
    • 73% - Pool B - New Zealand _ (88% if 1st in pool, 51% if 2nd)
    • 72% - Pool D - Wales _______ (86% if 1st in pool, 46% if 2nd)
    • 69% - Pool C - England ______ (71% if 1st in pool, 51% if 2nd)
    • 57% - Pool A - Ireland _______ (60% if 1st in pool, 45% if 2nd)
    • 56% - Pool B - South Africa __ (81% if 1st in pool, 40% if 2nd)
    • 40% - Pool D - Australia _____ (75% if 1st in pool, 31% if 2nd)
    • 14% - Pool C - France _______ (~40% if 1st in pool, 19% if 2nd)
    • 9.0% - Pool A - Scotland _____ (~25% if 1st in pool, 13% if 2nd)
    • 4.0% - Pool A - Japan _______ (~20% if 1st in pool, 9.0% if 2nd)
    • 2.5% - Pool C - Argentina ____ (~20% if 1st in pool, 10% if 2nd)
    • 2.2% - Pool D - Fiji __________ (~50% if 1st in pool, 10% if 2nd)
    • 0.1% - Pool C - USA _________ (2% if 2nd in pool)
    • 0.1% - Pool D - Georgia _____ (10-90% if 1st in pool, ~3% if 2nd)
    • 0% - Pool B - Italy
    • 0% - Pool C - Tonga
    • 0% - Pool A - Samoa
    Chances to place in top 3:
    • 64% - Pool B - New Zealand _ (1st 27%, 2nd 20%, 3rd 17%)
    • 55% - Pool C - England ______ (1st 18%, 2nd 17%, 3rd 20%)
    • 53% - Pool D - Wales ________ (1st 14%, 2nd 17%, 3rd 22%)
    • 51% - Pool A - Ireland _______ (1st 23%, 2nd 16%, 3rd 12%)
    • 44% - Pool B - South Africa __ (1st 14%, 2nd 16%, 3rd 14%)
    • 22% - Pool D - Australia _____ (1st 4.0%, 2nd 8.5%, 3rd 10%)
    • 4.5% - Pool A - Scotland _____ (1st 0.5%, 2nd 2.2%, 3rd 1.8%)
    • 4.5% - Pool C - France _______ (1st 0.4%, 2nd 1.6%, 3rd 2.5%)
    • 1.8% - Pool A - Japan ________ (1st 0.2%, 2nd 0.8%, 3rd 0.8%)
    • 0.6% - Pool D - Fiji ___________ (1st <0.1%, 2nd 0.2%, 3rd 0.3%)
    • 0.5% - Pool C - Argentina ____ (1st ----------, 2nd 0.2%, 3rd 0.3%)
     
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    Last edited: Sep 8, 2019
  12. scotty507

    scotty507 First XV

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    Naa that will likly be an AB or SA wing with italy, nambia and Canada. They will likly give game time to the likes of reece/bridge and Kolbe. We seen what ABs put past tonga.
     
  13. The Alpha Bro

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    Don't get me wrong, Ireland will most likely win that game, but I can't see them getting the BP... They lack a cutting edge you know, everyone's said it for years and it's always been true!
     
  14. The_Blindside

    The_Blindside First XV

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  15. FrenchFan

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    Best home reffing final ever

    The group that made the 2011 final were a team. They weren’t brilliant but they had men like William Servat, Thierry Dusautoir, Julien Bonnaire, Aurelien Rougerie, Lionel Nallet, Dimitri Yachvili who all stepped up and led from the front. Not like the current shower of prima donnas.

    Les Bleus under Brunel don’t even qualify as a ‘team’.

    Lose the first game v Argentina and les Bleus will be back on the plane pronto. Might as well leave the engine running. If the typhoon blows from east to west they’ll be home in a jiffy.
     
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    Last edited: Sep 10, 2019
  16. FrenchFan

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    I would contend England have the best pool to make it to the final

    Pool A Ireland Scotland Japan are better than France and possibly Argentina for Japan
    Pool B NZ and SA are way better than France and Argentina and both are title contenders while Fra and Arg aren't.
    Pool D Wales Australia Fiji are better than France and possibly Argentina for Fiji. This is the most competitive pool.
     
  17. The_Blindside

    The_Blindside First XV

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    Argentina and France back to back weeks and that’s even before talking about QF, semi and final. 5 matches versus tier 1 sides in a row. Tough ask for England to get to the final and win it on the back of that draw.

    Of course, I hope I am wrong, but the pessimist in me and the fact I have doubts this England side can adapt to the game as it unfolds - see Scotland and Wales in this year’s 6 nations, plus a captain in Farrell who is still pretty new to the captaincy role for England and has his brain fart moments under pressure like not wrapping his arms around when tackling. Yeah, you can say I have my doubts.
     
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  18. TRF_Olyy

    TRF_Olyy English Arrogance

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    Yeah, I think we've got the hardest group - Not necessarily in terms of team strength (Springboks and All Blacks having to play each other in the groups, for example) but no one else has three realistic teams fighting for the two spots.
     
  19. FrenchFan

    FrenchFan First XV

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    Yes pool A with Ire Sco Jap and pool D with Aus Wal Fij
     
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  20. The Alpha Bro

    The Alpha Bro Fat Boi

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    Pool B and D have two teams fighting for top spot barring a massive **** up.

    Pool A and C have two teams fighting for second save for a massive **** up by the top seed.

    I think England have the second easiest group to top and the second toughest draw, 5 tier 1 games in a month if you pass the quarters.

    Similarly Ireland have the easiest group to top, it wouldn't surprise me if we had it wrapped up before playing Samoa, but the toughest draw by virtue of facing an equally fresh NZ or SA in the QF.

    The winner of the NZ SA game immediately becomes a strong tournament favourite in my opinion.
     
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  21. FrenchFan

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    but Sco and Wal are better than the opposition in your pool. My whole point.
     
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