Dizzy
First XV
Piri on the bench?.. Poor move imo.
Piri on the bench?.. Poor move imo.
Apparently he has ongoing fitness/fatness problems (http://www.stuff.co.nz/sport/rugby/...ri-Weepu-on-bench-for-Blues-against-Crusaders)
Looking at the two teams named I'm finding it very hard to pick a winner!
I think the Crusaders have the edge in the front-row due to their world class propping rotation (even if their best prop is on the bench). I've got a lot of time for McCartney, but he is better at hooker, and while Faumuina is a good ball running prop, he still has work to do at scrum time.The blues do have a clear edge at hooker, but this is not enough to overcome the Crusaders edge in the props in my opinion. Despite having the edge in the front-row I don't actually think the Crusaders will have much (if any) edge at scrum-time, as they really lack a tight-head lock (they will REALLY miss Brad Thorn here), while the Blues have a strong scrummaging tight-head lock in Boric, and Ali Williams is not bad at scrum-time either (probably better than either Donnelly or Whitelock in any case). I think the Blues have a slight edge in the locks, but only just.
Both teams seem to have pretty well balanced loose-forward trios, though I do think the Crusaders lack someone who can run the ball effectively close to the breakdown (ala Kaino). Read does a good job running a bit wider, but I think the Crusaders will have to rely heavily on there props to get them the go-forward ball they require (this is another major area where they will miss Thorn). It will be interesting to see how Kaino goes at 8 - he will need to have a strong match, as I see the Crusaders having a very slight edge in the loose-forward department.
The halves look evenly matched to me - Mathewson and Hobbs are the better ball runners, but Ellis and Bleyendaal play the tactical game better. Likewise the mid-field looks pretty evenly matched - there could be some big collisions between Fruean and Ranger! Some interesting matchups out wide too: I think Raikuna may have trouble containing Dagg, but Raikuna himself could cause some damage if he gets a bit of room to move.
In conclusion I have no idea who is going to win - I'm going to pick the Blues by 5, solely because they have the home advantage...
Forecast: Showers + First game nerves + New combinations + Lots of High balls = Mistakes a plenty.
I'm glad Rene is away from the last line of defense, if it's an up and under he's usually shaky. Toeava's a mixed bag under the High ball - can't have more than 2 players having issues.
If this is anything like last years match, irrespective of who wins - it'll be a great start for the NZ Franchises.
Blues to win +7
Could very well be the case! Are you based in Auckland? If so, what has the weather been like this week? If it has been anything like we have has here in Dunedin they may be playing under water
I agree it is good to get Ranger away from the high-balls, though I'm not sure whether Raikuna is any better in that situation (Wulf however should be fine). Toeava has been a bit erratic in the past under the high ball, but I thought he was generally very good last season in this department (before he was injured). I'm really hoping he continues to show last seasons form, rather than reverting to the slightly error-prone (but exceptionally gifted) player he had been in previous seasons.
Weather's gotten worse as the week's progressed - some torrential showers today. Hopefully it subsides a bit for tomorrow...