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Yoshimitsu said:
Depends on how you want this to play out It's a simple numbers game.

Small numbers? Barely a ripple. Large numbers? Serious problems.

Lets play catastrophist!

80% of people who get this thing appear to be fine. However, the 20% who aren't will rapidly swamp the health services of all countries affected with ICU beds being the most likely failure point. A mortality rate of 1 - 2% seems to be on the cards with the majority of the dead being old / suffering from other health conditions. It looks like we're going to get a pretty good idea of what happens as the Iranians appear to have gone for the approach of just letting it spread.

I'd suspect the Six Nations will be a casualty but it won't be the biggest. The Olympics is highly unlikely (imho obviously) to proceed in it's current / envisaged form.

The particular problem is lack of testing capability. Without that the Italians really don't know yet what they are dealing with. Risking the health of potentially millions so we can watch a game of rugby seems a bit disproportionate to me.

Just for context there was a lot of worry about swine flu. I got it and it was a miserable experience. But that strain had a mortality of around 0.02% at the moment this thing it appears approximately 100 x more deadly. Spanish Flu had a mortality rate of approximately 2-3% and killed somewhere around 30 million people worldwide.

The name of the game is to buy time and keep numbers low enough for existing capabilities to cope. Our "just in time" ultra connected society is about to find out exactly how resilient such systems are. At this point I'd hope caution wins the day.
Click to expand...

I 'liked' this, but to say I like it maybe gives the wrong impression. I agree with it completely. As you say, at the point I can't see the Olympics happening in the envisaged form unless it's all done by then - unlikely unfortunately. Would be a shame to postpone/cancel 6 nations games, but 100% the correct thing to do.
 
All sports in cancelled,
National Museums closed in Tokyo, Kyoto and Nara (was going to all three),
Rumours that the bullet train might be cancelled,
All school shut until mid April (closing for spring break 3weeks early)

ffs
 
TRF_Olyy said:
All sports in cancelled,
National Museums closed in Tokyo, Kyoto and Nara (was going to all three),
Rumours that the bullet train might be cancelled,
All school shut until mid April (closing for spring break 3weeks early)

ffs
Click to expand...
Honestly probably best to cancel your trip and claim on insurance and go when this all over.
 
Checked on insurance, they're not paying out unless you're specifically flying into a city that has been designated an "only essential travel" place by the government (Hubei province, two places in Korea and about 20 towns in Italy) - KLM are doing the same, judging from their social media/people kicking off at them.
Think the best they're doing is saying if you're flying into a bad area you can rebook within 30days - but 30days it's probably gonna be significantly worse than it is now soooo.....

Definitely wasn't anticipating this when I booked my flights 6 months ago
 
That's a complete ****, the frustrating part will be the flights being your main expense. Once out there claiming on bullet train and stuff being close you paid for won't make a difference on your entire holiday being utter horlicksed. I'd be quite despondent by now if I were you.
 
I'm off to Australia on Saturday, originally going via Beijing. Air China gave us a full refund no quibbles, no need to involve insurance.

Now going via Abu Dhabi.
 
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It's why the government had to raise the threat level a few weeks ago - they had people refusing to go into quarantine when coming back from Wuhan so needed the powers to legally detain/quarantine them.
 
My school just closed their study abroad program in Venice and have evacuated the students from the house. They’ll be quarantined for two weeks (one of which is spring break) before they return to class.
 
Heard an expert say today on the radio that wearing a face mask without any symptoms makes you an asshole. Only people with the symptoms or immediate caretakers of quarantined folks should be using them. The world is facing a shortage of medical supplies and people are using them for shits and giggles.
 
Facemasks are to stop ill people infecting others, rather than the other way round (other than in a hospital environment etc)

Was picking some travel sickness tablets up from the chemist this morning and was talking to them about Japan and they were saying facemasks are pointless and arguably worse than not wearing one as it means you're touching your face more putting it on and off
 
South Korea’s sevens team is in la for the World Series and trump just announced a travel ban from South Korea, wonder if that could be an issue for the team.

Advice to stay healthy has been to wash hands and don’t touch your eyes.
 
I don't mind people wearing face masks but the other day when I saw a girl with a leather one that had 'SAFE' written across it in pink, that did **** me off. By all means, protect yourself from a disease, but don't turn it into a ******* fashion trend.
 

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