My plan to hedge my $5k return will be to first ride out the results of the semi finals and see where that leaves me. Hopefully Canterbury make it through to the final and hopefully Counties beat Wellington
However
I believe it will be a Wellington Canterbury final and at that stage I will probably put down $2k on Wellington.
At this stage it's not so much about what I think will happen, but more about doing the math and making sure I get some kind of positive net return! Clearly I placed my multi at the start of the season thinking Canterbury were the best chances of winning the cup. Now I'd give the favorites tag to Wellington hence I will certainly cover on them IF the final is between them and Canterbury and should be able to guarantee at least a $2k return.
Regardless, it's been a good season for me. $3k return on Counties holding the shield already banked. I also have a small wager on Counties at $25 to win the Cup, some cover already on Wellington already at $3 and a minimum $2k return in the championship so long as Southland don't win
By the way, wouldn't read much into the Wellington HB game. Wellington had bugger all to play for, HB had a home semi to play for. HB played brilliantly, Wellington were flat. Auck were in a similar situation v Otago and looked equally as poor. Two teams just going through the motions IMHO.