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[RWC2023] South Africa vs Ireland (23/09/2023)

the rugby fan’s obsessions with historical results and emotional patterns is akin to all mu ex girlfriend’s obsession with astrology and chakras

In the world cup prediction someone said Wales will make the semis because of their history and how they made it in 2011.....

If they do make a long run it will be due to the weak side of the draw, not because the 2011 team got to the semis.
 
I'm pretty sure I already used words to say why I think the reward is only mediocre:
"The reward is having 1 extra forward who's fresh for 20 minutes or so, versus a 6:2"

1 more fresh forward for 20 minutes isn't really what I would call a huge advantage, adding nitro, or anything else like that, it's an extra couple of percentage points. It'll make a difference in a tight game maybe by as much as a single penalty versus not having that 1 extra forward. It also comes with the sacrifice of a fresh back, so even the advantage is swings and roundabouts (a greater gain than loss, sure, but nothing revolutionary.
It's also... an opinion - not everyone has to agree with mine, or yours, or Matt Williams'
I've not seen anyone failing to see the upside - just disagreeing on how much of an advantage is it versus different balances of bench selection.
I dont think that explains the argument. To begin with, why are you comparing it to a 6;2?
The natural comparisons would be either to the average bench formation or to what the opposition is fielding in a specific game. Neither is 6:2.

And it's not one more fresh forward for 20 min. It's the ability to
a) push on that part of the game harder and longer (that's what she said!) than the opposition
b) put a lot of pressure on the fixed and dynamic formations and slow them down on defense, which is not a minor thing when playing against a team with Ireland's style.

Let me rephrase: most teams keep 1-2 people in the bench for 'just in case' situations. They are throwing that option out and exploiting it to their advantage (at a risk, course).
 
******* hell just discovered Canada (TSN) have decided to not show this match on cable...what ******* idiot decided to put on the England/Chile match but not this one....

ITV player over VPN it is...what a miserable experience that normally is.
 
If you all have a VPN service on your phone or computer, you can then access the official RugbyPass stream for free; just set your country to somewhere like Greece or Iceland and the stream comes up perfectly
 
With all due respect to Scotland, who could still put a spanner in Ireland's works, and to both France and New Zealand, this match has the potential to be a forerunner of the eventual final. But it's not a do-or-die game for either team, so part of me thinks it might be a bit more low key than the hype would suggest.
 

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