my picks
prop: Woodcock, Franks, laulala, Franks, Crockett
Hooker: Coles, Mealamu, Taylor (I would have gone for Hika but he hasn't really been given a chance even though he was a dead set form hooker in super rugby)
locks: Retalick, Whitelock, Romano
Loosies: McCaw, Kaino, Read, Cane, Messam, Vito
9: Smith, Perenara, TKB
10: Carter, Barrett, Sapoaga
midfield: Nonu, Smith, SBW
back 3: Smith, savea, Dagg, Skudder
Utility: Piutau (cover 13 wing, probably have a pool game at 13)
observations/concerns
Toss a coin to seperate Slade and Sapoaga.
I would like to drop Dagg for Fekitoa but I can't see the selectors dropping dagg after sticking by him through patchy form for four years only to drop him on the eve of a world cup.
Naholo being available for the 3rd game is an interesting proposition but it's hard to see him being selected after only 50min of test footy.
I have major concerns over savea, he's well down on form and lost a yard of pace that has skuttled his finishing and ability to take the outside option, limiting him to just hitting the ball up and I dont think he's doing the right things to get his mojo back. This IMO that makes piutau a very important player, currently he's a much better option at 11 than Savea. And I think he's a better option for the finals than Skudder.
Skudder has x-factor but that almost never helps in RWC finals, Piutau's extra size, skills, experience and defensive ability will be more important at that time.
I'm not sold on Vito, good game against Aussie but he always looks good in strong/dominant team performances like that. He completely vanishes when games get tough. To his credit he's a superb option at the front of the lineout but that doesn't make up for the fact when the going gets tough he can vanish and go almost whole games unnoticed and only get credit for 2-3 tackles.
Only 3 locks, would have been 4 but Thrush looks slow and out of form to me and Broadhurst only got 40min of test rugby and he didn't do enough which sucks. And our established 3rd lock Tuipulotu is injured. Vito to get gametime at lock during pool play.
Slade, Crotty & Fekitoa very unlucky but it will be unlikely that we go the whole WC without injury, they will be on speed dial. At this point Cruden is the only big name injury we have for the backs.
Other players who really should be in consideration but aren't.
Hika Elliot - IMO on form he is our #2 hooker behind coles. superb and physical around the field and good lineout throwing this year. Should be in the mix but I think his past issues are still haunting him a bit.
Moala - didn't get to play in a good super rugby side but on individual form his year has been right up with Naholo & Skudder, Moala stood out like a lighthouse in a really shabby blues team. Superb and very important try against Samoa. Was an absolute beast in the MAB vs baba's game, like Hika he has a bit of red on his record that may be tipping the finely balanced scales.
Broadhurst - should have been given more than 40min....