Leinster and Sarries are hot favourites in the bookies at 2/1. Clermont, Toulouse and Chiefs are contenders at 8/1 and 10/1. Racing 20/1 and Munster 25/1 have an outside shot, definitely elevated due to that wanky pool. I don't think Sarries are great value with their pool, they'll likely have to go away from home at least once to make the final. Toulouse need to get their house in order in the top 14 so I could see them dropping a game or two in the pools as well. But they have the easiest pool after Leinster. Clermont are well placed and will be keen to have a strong return to the tournament. They have a handy pool too. Leinster should go 5/6 at the very worst, if Lyon aren't fussed again 6/6. Probably the most likely team to play the final. Chiefs need to turn up in Europe, they really should get a semi but I'm not convinced. They could slip up in that pool too, not too difficult but not many gimmes. Ster v Clermont in the dream Heineken Cup final, Ster to hit 5.